New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2015Lost to Pittsburgh 17-38, playoff odds down 16 to 21.5% 0-1-0 .000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | -10.0 | | -1.3 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | +1.0 | | +0.1 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | -0.9*+2.2+1.2 | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | -0.6*+1.7+0.8 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Houston vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.7-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | | | -0.0*-0.4+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Buffalo vs New England | -7.1*+1.4+11.0 | | -0.9*+0.3+1.5 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | +0.9*-3.0-1.1 | | +0.0-0.5-0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Miami | +0.4*-1.7-0.7 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | | | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | | | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 881 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 85 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 68 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,582 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 51 | 41 | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 30 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 16,800 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 16 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 165 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 98.1 | | 5 | 23 | 32 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 43,685 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 91.9 | | 1 | 9 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 356 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 71.4 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 86,729 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 43.8 | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 651 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 20.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 130,059 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | 2 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 5.3 | | | | 0 | 5 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | | | 853 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 2.9 | | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 151,439 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 976 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 137,250 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | 2 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 17 | 669 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 35 | 94,698 | | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | 2 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 60 | 440 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 48,752 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | 164 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | 18,474 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 44 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 4,827 | | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 5 | | 1 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 745 | | 0 | -0.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 110 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 21.5 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 743,584 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | +2.4 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.1 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +0.0 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Houston vs Kansas City | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.1*+0.6+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Buffalo vs New England | +1.8*-0.6-2.8 | | Jacksonville vs Miami | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.1*-0.5+0.1 | | Washington vs St. Louis | -0.1*-0.4+0.1 | | Kansas City vs Denver | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.5-0.1 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | -0.0*+1.0+0.1 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.0*-0.3-0.1 | | Chicago vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 95 | 1 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 78 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 69 | 15 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 40 | 28 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 23 | 28 | 38 | 3 | | | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 2 | | 12 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | 1 | | 9 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 5 | 6 | 18 | | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 1 | | 0 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 27 | 11 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 28 | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 51 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 32 | 65 | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|