Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Tampa Bay1-0-01.0001044.4%+7.088777766666655547.7+0.791Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans10-0-0036.5-1.066657766666666668.6-0.107New Orleans Saints
Carolina10-0-0036.4-1.166657676666666668.6-0.097Carolina Panthers
Atlanta10-0-0036.3-1.266657666666666668.6-0.107Atlanta Falcons

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/13
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+7.0
+0.8
New Orleans-1.2
-0.1
Carolina-1.0
-0.1
Atlanta-1.3
-0.1
Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay-0.4
-0.0
New Orleans-0.2
-0.0
Carolina-0.3
-0.0
Atlanta-0.3
-0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.0
Carolina+0.4
+0.1
Arizona vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans27.7*25.345.3
9.7*9.17.5
Carolina37.0*31.635.9
8.6*8.78.6
Atlanta36.750.535.8
8.6*6.98.6
Atlanta vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay43.5*40.745.4
7.8*7.87.6
New Orleans35.9*37.437.1
8.6*8.88.6
Carolina35.6*39.637.2
8.6*8.38.5
Atlanta45.1*40.727.4
7.5*8.09.7
Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay45.8*40.643.1
7.6*8.17.8
New Orleans37.4*32.335.6
8.5*8.98.7
Carolina29.4*38.543.5
9.4*8.37.8
Atlanta37.2*33.335.3
8.5*9.18.7
Week of 9/20
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay33.1*43.655.8
8.97.46.5
New Orleans47.0*33.326.0
7.4*8.69.8
Carolina8.6*8.38.6
Atlanta8.6*8.98.6
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay45.4*37.643.5
7.6*8.07.8
New Orleans37.2*32.935.8
8.5*8.78.7
Carolina37.0*38.835.8
8.5*8.78.6
Atlanta27.6*42.445.0
9.7*8.27.5
Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay43.3*52.845.6
7.8*7.17.6
New Orleans35.4*37.037.6
8.7*8.58.5
Carolina43.6*31.529.2
7.8*8.59.4
Atlanta35.1*38.037.4
8.7*8.78.5
Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay44.9*45.044.0
7.77.97.8
New Orleans36.9*36.036.1
8.5*8.48.6
Green Bay vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay7.7*7.17.7
New Orleans8.6*8.88.6
Oakland vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta8.6*7.88.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.