NFC South Playoff Chances 2015

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Tampa Bay		1	-	0	-	0	1.000	10	50.8	%	+13.3	10	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	7.0	+1.51	1	.527	Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	35.1		-2.4	5	5	6	5	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	8.7	-0.18	7	.500	New Orleans Saints
Atlanta	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	34.4		-3.2	5	5	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	8.8	-0.26	7	.500	Atlanta Falcons
Carolina	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	33.6		-3.8	5	5	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.8	-0.33	7	.500	Carolina Panthers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/13
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	+6.1		+0.7
New Orleans	-1.0		-0.1
Atlanta	-1.0		-0.1
Carolina	-1.0		-0.1

San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	+0.2		+0.0
New Orleans	+0.3		+0.0
Atlanta	+0.2		+0.0
Carolina	+0.3

Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	-0.3		-0.0
New Orleans	-0.3		-0.0
Atlanta	-0.2
Carolina	-0.2

Chicago 7 Green Bay 42
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			-0.0
Carolina	+0.1		+0.0

Atlanta vs PhiladelphiaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	50.2*50.051.7		7.0*6.76.9
New Orleans	34.7*35.835.7
Atlanta	41.7*33.624.6		7.8*9.010.0
Carolina	33.1*34.734.4		8.9*9.18.8

Arizona vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	51.3*51.250.2		7.0*6.97.0
New Orleans	27.6*36.745.2		9.68.77.5
Atlanta	34.7*39.533.9		8.78.18.8
Carolina	33.9*33.633.3		8.89.18.8

Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	51.8*55.149.5		6.9*6.87.1
New Orleans	35.9*32.334.0		8.6*9.18.8
Atlanta	35.3*32.333.2		8.7*8.98.9
Carolina	27.7*34.741.6		9.5*8.87.9

Week of 9/20
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	40.4*52.063.3		8.16.65.7
New Orleans	44.7*30.823.6		7.6*8.810.0
Carolina	33.9*31.533.3		8.8*9.18.9

NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	51.6*53.449.8		6.9*6.87.1
New Orleans	35.7*28.534.3		8.6*9.18.7
Atlanta	26.9*37.744.4		9.7*8.47.5
Carolina	34.1*32.733.1

Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	49.8*52.152.2		7.1*6.96.9
New Orleans	34.3*36.236.2		8.8*8.58.6
Atlanta	33.5*35.335.5		8.88.88.7
Carolina	39.4*29.125.9		8.2*9.29.7

Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	51.1*52.350.5		7.0*6.77.0
New Orleans	35.4*34.434.7		8.6*8.98.7
Atlanta	34.7*35.833.9		8.7*8.88.8
Carolina	34.0*36.533.1		8.8*8.78.9

Chicago vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	51.1*56.550.5		7.0*6.57.0
New Orleans	35.4*30.634.8
Atlanta			8.8*8.48.7

Green Bay vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			7.0*6.77.0
New Orleans			8.7*8.98.7
Atlanta			8.8*8.48.8
Carolina			8.8*9.28.9

Washington vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			7.0*6.77.0
Atlanta			8.7*9.08.8
Carolina			8.88.48.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.