"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Lost to Washington 10-33, playoff odds down 6.7 to 30.8%
0-1-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 -7.1
-0.8
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +0.6
+0.0
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Cleveland-0.8*+1.7+0.8
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Buffalo vs Indianapolis-0.8*+3.2+0.8
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Miami-8.2*-3.3+8.2
-1.1*-0.4+1.1
Indianapolis vs NY Jets+0.6*+4.0-0.6
+0.0+0.5-0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Carolina vs Houston+0.0*-0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13.5-15In100139*
1313-2-0In9640805
12.512-2-1In1008
1212-3-0In7818123,296
11.511-3-1In53326934
1111-4-0100.0%42381019109,840
10-3-2In1001
10.510-4-1In204316515186
1010-5-098.78272782171021,952
9.59-5-195.01122520201741181
99-6-075.4041620142216710036,537
8.58-6-142.6161931424221011284
88-7-020.201121616232113510047,095
7.57-7-14.342102326201221305
77-8-02.102003101925221351046,906
6.56-8-10.40021428282051258
66-9-00.10001515272918536,791
5-8-2Out50502
5.55-9-1Out118353817168
55-10-00.0001520413321,966
4.54-10-1Out13356175
44-11-0Out03247310,143
3.53-11-1Out227827
33-12-0Out06933,330
2.52-12-1Out109010
22-13-0Out298781
0-1.5Out100132*
Total:30.8%4567556666777789241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 +2.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.0
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.8-0.1
Denver vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Buffalo vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina-0.1*+1.6+0.0
NY Jets vs Cleveland+0.0*-0.9-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Miami+2.2*+0.6-2.2
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.1*-1.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs San Diego+0.1*-0.8-0.1
Carolina vs Houston+0.1*+0.6-0.1
Washington vs St. Louis-0.1*+0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.0*-0.9+0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+0.0*+0.8-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1515-0-0100
1414-1-0982
13.513-1-1100
1313-2-0851140
12.512-2-18813
1212-3-05128171120
11.511-3-1124126669
1111-4-0113027129118110
10-3-2100
10.510-4-1119281515151411
1010-5-00762116117112971100
9.59-5-1111191614661412441
99-6-0004213111021291310842000
8.58-6-11065153113101917651
88-7-000121010625912141411741000
7.57-7-1401413212418851
77-8-00020001259121517161273100
6.56-8-1015921212116410
66-9-000000241016212116830
5-8-2100
5.55-9-1210212726121
55-10-000012819292913
4.54-10-111195524
44-11-002103553
3.53-11-143363
33-12-0011386
2.52-12-11090
22-13-0397
0-1.5100
Total:22232334232322233333334444444455