Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2015Plays Kansas City, playoff odds up 2.8 to 40.3% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +1.0 | | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Houston vs Kansas City | +7.7*-2.7-10.3 | | +0.9*-0.4-1.2 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -1.1*+1.5+1.5 | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | +0.8*-3.9-1.0 | | +0.1-0.4-0.1 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | +0.2*-1.9-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Carolina vs Houston | -6.3*+1.1+8.4 | | -0.7*+0.3+0.9 | | Jacksonville vs Miami | -0.8*+3.0+1.3 | | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | -0.8*+5.5+1.1 | | -0.1*+0.5+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.4*+0.7+0.6 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | +0.3*-0.6-0.4 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 194 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,464 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 7 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,785 | | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 84 | 13 | 1 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 72 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 21,816 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 51 | 40 | 4 | | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 212 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 34 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 52,665 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 18 | 37 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 470 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 98.0 | | 6 | 24 | 28 | 10 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 94,908 | | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | | 25 | 50 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 92.1 | | 1 | 10 | 28 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 745 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 70.3 | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 133,713 | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 40.3 | | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 979 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 17.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 146,455 | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 57 | 43 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 5.4 | | | | | 5 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | 944 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.9 | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 126,642 | | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | | | | 1 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 720 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 85,096 | | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 1 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 15 | 30 | 39 | 13 | 416 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 33 | 44,653 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 39 | 55 | 188 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 17,765 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | 52 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 5,265 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 6 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,034 | | 0 | -1.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 212 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 40.3 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 743,584 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | +0.1 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Houston vs Kansas City | -1.8*+0.6+2.4 | | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | -0.1+0.7+0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +0.1*-0.5-0.1 | | Oakland vs Cincinnati | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | -0.1*+0.4+0.1 | | Arizona vs New Orleans | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Carolina vs Houston | +1.7-0.8-2.3 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | +0.1-1.0-0.1 | | Kansas City vs Denver | -0.0+0.5+0.1 | | Buffalo vs New England | +0.0+0.4-0.0 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Miami | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | +0.1*-0.7-0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Chicago vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.9+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 80 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 70 | 14 | 13 | | 1 | | | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 45 | 27 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 24 | 28 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 0 | | | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 2 | | 14 | 3 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | 25 | 50 | | | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 29 | 14 | | 14 | | | 14 | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 0 | 5 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 27 | 39 | 28 | 4 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 52 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 19 | 79 | 3 | | 3 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 86 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | 2 | | 2 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 1 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | | 0 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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