Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 2015

Lost to San Diego 14-35, playoff odds down 15.7 to 21.7%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

13.5	-15						In		100																194	*
13		13	-	2	-	0	In		94	5	0	0	1												969
12	.5	12	-	2	-	1	In		73	27															15
12		12	-	3	-	0	In		75	20	2		4												5,230
11	.5	11	-	3	-	1	In		54	27	11		9												56
11		11	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	36	37	12	1	13	1	0										18,420
		10	-	3	-	2	In		100																2
10	.5	10	-	4	-	1	In		12	31	32	8	17	1											165
10		10	-	5	-	0	98.4		6	23	27	9	24	9	1	0	0								46,702
9	.5	9	-	5	-	1	91.1		0	9	21	21	20	21	7	1	0								404
9		9	-	6	-	0	71.6		0	2	13	21	13	23	18	8	2	0	0						89,482
		8	-	5	-	2	33.3							33	67										3
8	.5	8	-	6	-	1	36.4			0	4	18	1	13	24	22	14	3	1	0					736
8		8	-	7	-	0	17.2			0	1	11	1	5	14	23	22	15	6	2	0	0	0		132,902
		7	-	6	-	2	33.3					33					67								3
7	.5	7	-	7	-	1	6.1					6		0	2	8	19	26	23	13	3	0			920
7		7	-	8	-	0	1.9				0	2	0	0	0	2	8	18	25	24	14	5	1	0	151,610
		6	-	7	-	2	Out											25			50	25			4
6	.5	6	-	8	-	1	0.5					0					0	3	10	26	28	24	8	1	839
6		6	-	9	-	0	0.1					0				0	0	1	4	13	26	31	19	5	134,161
		5	-	8	-	2	Out													100					1
5	.5	5	-	9	-	1	Out												0	2	12	33	35	17	723
5		5	-	10	-	0	Out											0	0	1	5	20	41	34	90,988
4	.5	4	-	10	-	1	Out														1	6	35	59	391
4		4	-	11	-	0	Out													0	0	3	23	74	46,013
		3	-	10	-	2	Out																	100	1
3	.5	3	-	11	-	1	Out															1	9	91	175
3		3	-	12	-	0	Out														0	0	6	94	17,188
2	.5	2	-	12	-	1	Out																2	98	51
2		2	-	13	-	0	Out																1	99	4,435
1	.5	1	-	13	-	1	Out																	100	6
1		1	-	14	-	0	Out																0	100	684
0		0	-	15	-	0	Out																	100	111

Total:							21.7	%	2	3	4	5	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	10	13	743,584

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15		15	-	0	-	0	100
14		14	-	1	-	0	97	3
13	.5	13	-	1	-	1	100
13		13	-	2	-	0	81	13	5	0	0		0		1
12	.5	12	-	2	-	1	67	7	27
12		12	-	3	-	0	47	28	19	1	2				4	0
11	.5	11	-	3	-	1	30	23	20	7	11				9
11		11	-	4	-	0	8	27	25	13	11	1	1	0	12	1	1		0
		10	-	3	-	2	100
10	.5	10	-	4	-	1	1	11	15	16	28	4	8		15	2	1
10		10	-	5	-	0	0	6	5	18	15	12	8	1	14	10	8	1	1	0	0
9	.5	9	-	5	-	1		0	0	8	7	13	19	2	7	13	17	4	7	1	0
9		9	-	6	-	0		0	0	2	2	11	11	10	2	11	9	14	11	10	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	2												33	33	33
8	.5	8	-	6	-	1				0	0	4	7	11		1	1	12	9	20	20	10	4	1
8		8	-	7	-	0				0	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	5	1	5	9	13	15	15	12	8	4	1	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	2							33									33		33
7	.5	7	-	7	-	1							0	6				0		0	0	2	6	12	20	26	14	9	4	0	0
7		7	-	8	-	0						0	0	2		0		0			0	0	1	2	5	9	13	16	17	15	11	6	2	1	0	0
		6	-	7	-	2																						50		25	25
6	.5	6	-	8	-	1								0												0	1	5	10	20	23	24	11	4	1	0
6		6	-	9	-	0								0											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	17	21	20	15	7	2	0
		5	-	8	-	2																													100
5	.5	5	-	9	-	1																									0	3	12	23	32	20	10	1
5		5	-	10	-	0																								0	0	1	3	9	20	30	26	11
4	.5	4	-	10	-	1																											0	1	6	21	41	29
4		4	-	11	-	0																										0	0	0	2	11	36	50
		3	-	10	-	2																															100
3	.5	3	-	11	-	1																														2	22	76
3		3	-	12	-	0																													0	1	14	85
2	.5	2	-	12	-	1																															4	96
2		2	-	13	-	0																															4	96
1	.5	1	-	13	-	1																																100
1		1	-	14	-	0																															1	99
0		0	-	15	-	0																																100

Total:							1	1	1	2	1	2	2	3	1	2	2	3	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7