Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 2015

Plays at NY Jets, playoff odds down 2.8 to 34.8%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 -0.6
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.4
+0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.3
-0.0
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Cleveland-7.5*-2.9+10.1
-0.9+0.1+1.2
Denver vs Baltimore+0.5*-2.5-0.7
+0.0*-0.3-0.1
Oakland vs Cincinnati+0.5*+1.3-0.6
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Jacksonville vs Carolina-0.3*-0.1+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Kansas City-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Buffalo vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Tennessee+6.8*-0.5-10.1
+0.9*-0.1-1.3
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-1.0*+1.0+1.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.5*-0.4-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs San Diego-0.5*-0.1+0.5
Carolina vs Houston+0.3*+5.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Indianapolis vs NY Jets*-0.0-0.6+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1616-0-0In10067
1515-1-0In991116
1414-2-0In99101,042
13.513-2-1In10011
1313-3-0In935015,125
12.512-3-1In8692364
1212-4-0In7519105017,829
11.511-4-1In6720310162
1111-5-0100.0%3734101171044,673
10.510-5-199.818351522640410
1010-6-097.6721227301220085,876
9-5-2In1001
9.59-6-189.6181910292291722
99-7-066.5021012152621103000127,058
8-6-266.73333333
8.58-7-132.302841833221030923
88-8-012.9015161523231672000146,705
7-7-228.62914577
7.57-8-11.510210252823820921
77-9-00.8010003918252314510133,604
6-8-2Out5025254
6.56-9-10.30131528311850772
66-10-00.00001514273018594,379
5-9-2Out1001
5.55-10-1Out0212323717453
55-11-0Out001622413152,062
4.54-11-1Out63954185
44-12-0Out004267021,915
3.53-12-1Out1168273
33-13-0Out09916,658
2.52-13-1Out10024
22-14-0Out2981,476
1.51-14-1Out1001
11-15-0Out199191
00-16-0Out10071
Total:34.8%6554777777776666743,584
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 -0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.0
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 -0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Cleveland+1.7-0.0-2.3
Buffalo vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.3+0.0
Houston vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.9-0.1
Arizona vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Denver vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.7+0.0
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Cincinnati-0.0*-0.5+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Tennessee-1.7*+0.4+2.5
Indianapolis vs NY Jets+0.1+1.1-0.1
Carolina vs Houston-0.0-0.6+0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+0.1+0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Arizona+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Washington vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Cincinnati vs San Diego+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs New England+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0100
1515-1-09811
1414-2-096410
13.513-2-1100
1313-3-081125001
12.512-3-16125923
1212-4-04629171100500
11.511-4-12839172391
1111-5-092722129110162100
10.510-5-101817181231022440
1010-6-0064161210611712111200
9-5-2100
9.59-6-110871282102017591
99-7-000219662131115171041000
8-6-2333333
8.58-7-102170411712211911410
88-8-0001150105310151716128421000
7-7-2291414141414
7.57-8-11002616232415831
77-9-0001000001491417171410631000
6-8-225252525
6.56-9-1000251219262013310
66-10-00000149162020159410
5-9-2100
5.55-10-10141423262092
55-11-000015142428207
4.54-11-126253730
44-12-0014163941
3.53-12-113762
33-13-0022078
2.52-13-1100
22-14-00496
1.51-14-1100
11-15-0199
00-16-0100
Total:23232322343444443333433333333333