Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Lost to Green Bay 7-42, playoff odds down 9.3 to 28.2% 0-1-0 .000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | -10.6 | | -1.2 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +1.0 | | +0.1 | | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.4 | | -0.0 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | | | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +0.4*+5.2-0.4 | | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chicago vs Arizona | +8.0*-4.6-8.0 | | +1.1*-0.3-1.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -1.1*+5.9+1.1 | | -0.1*+0.7+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 7 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 800 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 73 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,363 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 56 | 28 | 4 | | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 32 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 10,097 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 15 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 22 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 97.4 | | 5 | 21 | 27 | 11 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 22,116 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 91.0 | | 1 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 167 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 66.3 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 22 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 36,500 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 38.9 | | | | 5 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 275 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 14.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 46,882 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 4.0 | | | | | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 3 | 1 | | | 302 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 1.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 47,096 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.8 | | | | | 1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 263 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 36,602 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 175 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 39 | 21,818 | | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 42 | 48 | 96 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 10,049 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | 33 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,344 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 7 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 746 | | 0 | -1.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 139 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 28.2 | % | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 241,152 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | +2.3 | | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | -0.1 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | -0.1 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -0.0 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Arizona vs New Orleans | -0.1*+0.4+0.1 | | Houston vs Kansas City | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | -0.1*-1.2+0.1 | | Oakland vs Cincinnati | -0.1*+1.0+0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.0*-0.8+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chicago vs Arizona | -2.1*+0.8+2.1 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | +0.1*+0.6-0.1 | | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | +0.1*-1.2-0.1 | | Washington vs St. Louis | -0.0*-0.7+0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.0*-0.4-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 97 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 82 | 10 | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 83 | | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 50 | 23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 40 | 16 | 28 | | 4 | | | | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | 22 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 2 | | 13 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 3 | | 20 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | 5 | 7 | 13 | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 2 | | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 26 | 11 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 25 | 51 | 19 | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 50 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 79 | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 0 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
|