Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2015Lost to Green Bay 7-42, playoff odds down 21.5 to 16% 0-1-0 .000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | -12.1 | | -1.4 | | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | +0.7 | | +0.0 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +0.2*+5.1-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.4-0.1 | | Arizona vs New Orleans | | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chicago vs Arizona | +5.5*+0.2-6.2 | | +1.0*-0.1-1.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.6*+0.0+1.0 | | | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +0.2*+3.6-0.3 | | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.3+0.1 | | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Washington vs St. Louis | | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13.5 | -15 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | * | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 6 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 630 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 69 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,529 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 61 | 24 | 8 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 30 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 13,184 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 97.5 | | 21 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 97.0 | | 4 | 18 | 24 | 10 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 36,910 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 89.8 | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 352 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 63.1 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 76,240 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 40.0 | | | | 20 | 20 | | | 20 | 20 | 20 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 35.6 | | | | 3 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | 609 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 12.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 121,535 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 4.1 | | | | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | | | 868 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 1.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150,669 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 988 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 143,812 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | | | 20 | 5 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 765 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 37 | 104,711 | | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 2 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 31 | 61 | 445 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 57,293 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 87 | 215 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 22,971 | | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 62 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 6,258 | | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 13 | | 1 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,076 | | 0 | -0.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 148 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 16.0 | % | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 743,584 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | +2.7 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -0.1 | | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | -0.0 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.0-0.8+0.0 | | Arizona vs New Orleans | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Houston vs Kansas City | +0.1*-0.5-0.1 | | Oakland vs Cincinnati | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chicago vs Arizona | -1.9+0.5+2.1 | | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | | Oakland vs Baltimore | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.8-0.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.0*-0.6-0.0 | | Buffalo vs New England | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13.5 | -15 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 82 | 10 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 43 | 26 | 20 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 42 | 18 | 24 | | 8 | | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 2 | | 18 | 2 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 5 | | 19 | 3 | 2 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | | | | | 20 | | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | 3 | 6 | 11 | | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 20 | | 20 | 20 | | 20 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 5 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 8 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 4 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 23 | 74 | 3 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 6 | 92 | 2 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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