Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Plays at Jacksonville, playoff odds down 1.1 to 36.4%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -1.0
-0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.4
+0.1
Washington 33 Miami 10 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Jacksonville vs Carolina-7.0*+2.1+7.0
-0.8*+0.3+0.8
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-0.8*+3.1+0.8
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Arizona vs New Orleans+0.6*-4.8-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Houston+7.2*-4.9-7.2
+0.8*+0.1-0.8
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.6*+2.4-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In10085*
1414-2-0In9910443
13.513-2-1In1004
1313-3-0In954012,035
12.512-3-1In96423
1212-4-0In742020406,706
11-3-2In1001
11.511-4-1In662222965
1111-5-099.9%3536111151015,945
10.510-5-199.319312441911134
1010-6-097.5621248261220029,205
9-5-2In1001
9.59-6-190.11920112722820263
99-7-065.10211161323211031041,761
8-6-2In1001
8.58-7-131.431211526301110293
88-8-012.801714132223179310046,793
7-7-2Out1001
7.57-8-12.424720322012210294
77-9-01.00100271624241672041,972
6.56-9-10.40021027332080243
66-10-00.00001312253121629,286
5-9-2Out1001
5.55-10-1Out118353818130
55-11-0Out01418413615,891
4.54-11-1Out5405558
44-12-0Out0323746,813
3-11-2Out1001
3.53-12-1Out5187722
33-13-0Out06932,176
2.52-13-1Out20805
22-14-0Out199422
0-1.5Out10079*
Total:36.4%6665767666666666241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 -0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
Washington 33 Miami 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Jacksonville vs Carolina+1.9-0.6-1.9
Arizona vs New Orleans+0.0+0.6-0.0
St. Louis vs Seattle+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.7-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Houston-2.0+0.4+2.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-1.5+0.1
Cleveland vs Tennessee+0.1*+1.6-0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.0*-0.2+0.0
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-1100
1313-3-0869401
12.512-3-183134
1212-4-05222191200400
11-3-2100
11.511-4-132341752282
1111-5-0112427101011014110
10.510-5-1191714194418111
1010-6-005615169711610111200
9-5-2100
9.59-6-11099111011116202820
99-7-000229972111113171152000
8-6-2100
8.58-7-13491114825231040
88-8-00011610439141615139521000
7-7-2100
7.57-8-12026162417199210
77-9-000100001481316171512842100
6.56-9-101482125191272
66-10-000001371319201711620
5-9-2100
5.55-10-1216223017103
55-11-00014122229239
4.54-11-13214333
44-12-00003143747
3-11-2100
3.53-12-1552764
33-13-0011583
2.52-13-12080
22-14-0298
0-1.5100
Total:33333333333344433333333333333333