Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Plays Indianapolis, playoff odds up 1.8 to 39.4%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		100																21
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		98	2															51
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		100																1
14		14	-	2	-	0	In		99	1															443
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		100																4
13		13	-	3	-	0	In		92	7	0		0												2,068
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	In		90	10															21
12		12	-	4	-	0	In		74	22	2	0	2	0											6,616
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	In		62	31	3		4												74
11		11	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	35	40	13	1	10	1	0										16,138
		10	-	4	-	2	In						100												1
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	In		16	42	20	5	16	1											161
10		10	-	6	-	0	98.3		6	24	29	11	19	8	2	0	0								29,184
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	95.5		1	12	26	26	15	15	4	1									245
9		9	-	7	-	0	71.7		0	3	15	23	11	20	17	8	3	0	0						42,155
		8	-	6	-	2	In				100														1
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	45.9				6	18	4	18	25	21	5	2	0	0					283
8		8	-	8	-	0	19.1			0	1	13	1	5	13	20	21	16	7	2	0	0	0		47,032
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	6.4					6			1	9	17	33	21	10	3				281
7		7	-	9	-	0	2.3				0	2		0	0	2	8	16	24	24	16	6	1	0	41,730
		6	-	8	-	2	Out										50				50				2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0.9					1					1	1	10	26	31	19	10	0	229
6		6	-	10	-	0	0.1					0					0	1	4	13	25	31	21	6	28,945
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	Out											1		2	10	27	43	18	126
5		5	-	11	-	0	Out											0	0	0	5	18	40	37	16,051
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	Out														2	9	31	58	55
4		4	-	12	-	0	Out														0	2	23	74	6,614
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out																19	81	16
3		3	-	13	-	0	Out															0	5	95	2,041
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out																	100	7
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out																0	100	459
0	-1						Out																	100	97	*

Total:							39.4	%	6	7	7	8	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	98		2
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	100
14		14	-	2	-	0	98	1	1
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	100
13		13	-	3	-	0	83	9	7		0				0
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	81	10	10
12		12	-	4	-	0	50	24	21	1	2	0	0		2	0	0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	35	27	31		3				4
11		11	-	5	-	0	10	25	29	11	12	1	1	0	9	1	1		0
		10	-	4	-	2									100
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	1	14	21	20	17	3	5		14	2	1
10		10	-	6	-	0	0	6	6	18	18	11	10	1	11	8	8	1	2	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1		1		12	9	17	23	3	5	10	13	2	3	1
9		9	-	7	-	0		0	0	3	2	12	13	10	2	9	9	11	11	10	5	2	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2						100
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1					0	6	5	13		4	1	17	7	18	15	10	3	1
8		8	-	8	-	0				0	0	1	2	11	0	1	0	4	1	4	8	11	14	15	13	9	5	2	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1							0	6							0	2	6	10	20	21	23	8	2	0
7		7	-	9	-	0						0	0	2				0			0	0	0	1	4	7	11	15	17	16	13	8	3	1	0	0
		6	-	8	-	2																							50	50
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1								1													0	4	11	17	21	22	13	7	2
6		6	-	10	-	0								0												0	0	0	1	4	8	15	20	22	17	9	3	0
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1																									1	6	11	18	25	28	11
5		5	-	11	-	0																								0	0	0	2	7	18	29	30	14
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1																												2	9	20	38	31
4		4	-	12	-	0																											0	0	1	9	34	55
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																															25	75
3		3	-	13	-	0																														1	11	88
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																																100
2		2	-	14	-	0																															2	98
0	-1																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	4	3	4	4	4	2	3	3	3	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4