AFC South Playoff Chances 2015

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Houston	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	40.3	%	+2.8	6	7	7	8	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	8.2	+0.34	7	.500	Houston Texans

Indianapolis	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	39.7		+2.2	6	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	8.2	+0.28	7	.500	Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	39.5		+2.1	6	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	8.2	+0.27	7	.500	Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee		0	-	1	-	0	.000	-10	25.3		-12.2	3	4	4	5	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	9.9	-1.39	7	.473	Tennessee Titans

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/13
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+1.0		+0.1
Indianapolis	+1.0		+0.1
Jacksonville	+1.0		+0.1
Tennessee	-6.2		-0.7

Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+0.3		+0.0
Indianapolis	+0.2		+0.0
Jacksonville	+0.3		+0.0
Tennessee	+0.2

San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			-0.0
Indianapolis	-0.4		-0.0
Jacksonville	-0.3		-0.0
Tennessee	-0.2		-0.0

New England 17 Pittsburgh 38
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-0.2		-0.0
Jacksonville	-0.1		-0.0
Tennessee	-0.1		-0.0

Buffalo vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	41.1*36.439.3		8.18.68.2
Indianapolis	32.0*43.649.9		9.1*7.77.0
Jacksonville	40.5*38.138.2		8.2*8.38.3
Tennessee	26.0*24.724.3		9.8*10.09.9

Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	39.2*41.841.8		8.2*8.08.0
Indianapolis	38.5*41.841.2		8.3*8.28.1
Jacksonville	45.7*39.531.2		7.5*8.39.2
Tennessee	24.5*27.226.3		10.0*10.09.8

Houston vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	48.0*37.630.1		7.2*8.69.4
Indianapolis	39.1*37.340.5		8.3*8.38.2
Jacksonville	39.0*42.840.2		8.3*8.18.2
Tennessee	24.8*20.325.9		9.9*10.19.9

NY Jets vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	40.5*38.440.0		8.1*8.48.2
Indianapolis			8.2*8.78.2
Jacksonville	39.7*44.639.2		8.2*8.08.3
Tennessee	25.5*24.625.0

Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indianapolis			8.2*7.78.2

Oakland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee			9.9*9.79.9

Week of 9/20
Indianapolis vs NY JetsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	39.5*45.941.4		8.2*7.68.1
Indianapolis	47.2*39.529.7		7.3*8.49.5
Jacksonville	38.7*38.540.6		8.38.38.2
Tennessee	24.6*23.226.1		9.9*10.19.8

Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	39.5*43.341.6		8.2*8.08.1
Indianapolis	38.8*36.541.0		8.3*8.68.1
Jacksonville	46.1*38.129.1		7.4*8.49.6
Tennessee	24.6*25.426.3		9.9*10.09.8

Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	34.0*41.448.7		8.8*7.87.2
Indianapolis	40.7*39.838.3		8.1*8.18.3
Jacksonville	40.7*36.937.9		8.1*8.38.4
Tennessee	26.1*30.424.1		9.8*9.510.0

Cleveland vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	40.6*39.739.9		8.1*8.28.2
Indianapolis	40.0*40.739.1		8.2*8.18.3
Jacksonville	39.8*38.039.0
Tennessee	19.0*29.734.7		10.8*9.58.6

Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	39.9*41.140.9		8.28.18.1
Indianapolis	39.4*40.740.1		8.3*8.38.2
Jacksonville			8.3*8.78.2
Tennessee	25.0*30.225.6		9.99.59.8

Cincinnati vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			8.1*8.28.2
Jacksonville			8.3*8.18.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.