AFC East Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Buffalo	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	39.4	%	+1.8	6	7	7	8	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.4	+0.15	7	Buffalo Bills

NY Jets	1	0	-	0	-	0		0	39.2		+1.8	6	7	7	8	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.4	+0.13	7	New York Jets
Miami		0	-	1	-	0	.000	-23	30.8		-6.7	4	5	6	7	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	9	9.3	-0.79	7	Miami Dolphins
New England		0	-	1	-	0	.000	-21	29.8		-7.7	3	5	6	8	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	9.5	-0.99	7	New England Patriots

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/13
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	+0.5		+0.0
NY Jets	+0.5		+0.0
Miami	+0.6		+0.0
New England	-8.8		-1.1

Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	+1.1		+0.1
NY Jets	+1.1		+0.1
Miami	-7.1		-0.8
New England	+1.1		+0.1

San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo			-0.0
NY Jets			-0.0
Miami			-0.1
New England			-0.0

Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami			+0.1
New England			+0.0

Buffalo vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	48.055.030.7		7.3*6.99.4
NY Jets	38.2*37.040.3		8.4*8.28.3
Miami	30.0*34.031.6		9.3*9.19.2
New England	28.8*25.030.7		9.5*9.99.4

NY Jets vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	38.7*42.240.0		8.4*8.08.3
NY Jets	48.0*34.930.5		7.3*9.09.5
Miami	30.0*32.531.6		9.3*9.09.2
New England	29.1*36.130.4		9.5*9.49.5

Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo			8.4*7.88.3
NY Jets			8.4*8.78.3

Week of 9/20
Buffalo vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	50.0*45.628.8		7.1*8.09.6
NY Jets			8.4*8.38.4
New England	19.6*32.240.0		10.7*9.08.3

Indianapolis vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	40.6*29.238.1		8.3*9.28.4
NY Jets	30.5*52.848.0		9.5*7.17.3
Miami	31.4*34.830.2		9.38.89.3
New England	30.8*23.628.8		9.4*10.29.5

Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	40.3*40.838.4		8.3*7.98.4
NY Jets	40.2*33.738.3		8.3*8.68.4
Miami	22.6*27.639.0		10.4*9.78.2
New England	30.6*26.529.0		9.4*10.19.5

Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo			8.4*8.28.3
NY Jets	38.8*40.039.7		8.4*8.48.3
Miami			9.3*9.79.2
New England			9.5*9.69.5

Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	39.6*39.838.8		8.3*8.78.4
Miami			9.3*9.79.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.