American Football Conference Playoff Chances 2015

Pittsburgh +20.4, New England -16.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Pittsburgh1-0-01.0002157.8%+20.414119610876654433216.2+2.321.536Pittsburgh Steelers
San Diego1-0-01.0002155.4+17.91310969876655443326.5+1.991.538San Diego Chargers
Buffalo10-0-0043.6+6.1789115556666666557.9+0.597.500Buffalo Bills
NY Jets10-0-0043.4+5.9789115556666666557.9+0.577.500New York Jets
Houston10-0-0040.3+2.867786666666666658.2+0.347.500Houston Texans
Indianapolis10-0-0039.7+2.267776666666666658.2+0.287.500Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville10-0-0039.5+2.167776666666666658.2+0.277.500Jacksonville Jaguars
Denver10-0-0035.6-2.065548777776666668.6-0.127.500Denver Broncos
Oakland10-0-0035.4-2.166548777777666668.6-0.137.500Oakland Raiders
Baltimore10-0-0034.9-2.565547777777666668.7-0.197.500Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City10-0-0034.9-2.665547777777766668.7-0.187.500Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland10-0-0034.8-2.865547777777766668.7-0.217.500Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati10-0-0034.2-3.265547777777777668.8-0.277.500Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee0-1-0.000-1025.3-12.2344545666777889109.9-1.397.473Tennessee Titans
Miami0-1-0.000-2323.7-13.823473455667889101210.2-1.747.459Miami Dolphins
New England0-1-0.000-2121.5-16.0234723456678910111410.6-2.127.464New England Patriots

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/13
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+10.3
+1.3
Buffalo+0.6
NY Jets+0.6
Houston-0.2
Jacksonville-0.0
Baltimore-0.7
Kansas City+0.2
Cleveland-0.6
Cincinnati-0.6
Miami+0.6
New England-10.0
-1.3
Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+0.3
+0.0
San Diego+0.3
Buffalo+1.0
+0.1
NY Jets+1.0
+0.1
Houston+0.3
Indianapolis+0.2
Jacksonville+0.3
Denver+0.3
+0.0
Oakland+0.3
Baltimore+0.3
Kansas City+0.3
+0.0
Cleveland+0.3
Cincinnati+0.3
+0.0
Tennessee+0.2
Miami-6.2
-0.7
New England+1.0
+0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+0.4
San Diego+0.2
NY Jets+0.3
Houston+1.0
+0.1
Indianapolis+1.0
+0.1
Jacksonville+1.0
+0.1
Denver+0.3
Oakland+0.3
Baltimore+0.3
Kansas City+0.3
Cleveland+0.4
+0.0
Cincinnati+0.3
Tennessee-6.2
-0.7
Miami+0.2
New England+0.2
+0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh-0.4
San Diego+6.1
+0.7
Buffalo*-0.2
NY Jets-0.2
Indianapolis-0.4
-0.0
Jacksonville-0.3
Denver-1.0
-0.1
Oakland-0.9
-0.1
Baltimore-0.3
Kansas City-0.9
-0.1
Cleveland-0.3
-0.0
Cincinnati-0.3
Tennessee-0.2
Miami*-0.2
New England-0.3
-0.0
Buffalo vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo51.1*37.833.5
7.0*8.49.2
NY Jets42.2*44.745.0
8.0*8.07.8
Houston41.1*36.439.3
8.18.68.2
Indianapolis32.0*43.649.9
9.1*7.77.0
Jacksonville40.5*38.138.2
8.2*8.38.3
New England20.6*23.722.7
10.7*10.510.5
NY Jets vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets50.8*44.933.4
7.0*7.99.2
Cleveland27.3*31.944.9
9.68.67.5
Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver43.2*33.925.5
7.7*8.89.9
Baltimore27.1*33.945.4
9.6*8.67.4
Houston vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston48.0*37.630.1
7.2*8.69.4
Kansas City27.3*35.945.1
9.6*8.77.5
Oakland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland43.0*33.825.2
7.7*8.89.9
Cincinnati26.5*33.444.5
9.7*8.87.5
Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo43.3*47.643.9
8.07.67.9
Houston39.2*41.841.8
8.2*8.08.0
Indianapolis38.5*41.841.2
8.3*8.28.1
Jacksonville45.7*39.531.2
7.5*8.39.2
Week of 9/20
Indianapolis vs NY JetsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh6.25.66.2
Buffalo44.8*44.941.9
7.8*8.08.0
NY Jets35.7*46.553.7
8.9*7.56.7
Indianapolis47.2*39.529.7
7.3*8.49.5
Cleveland*8.79.38.7
New England22.3*18.520.3
10.611.110.7
Cincinnati vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego46.5*56.265.7
7.5*6.45.4
Cincinnati42.6*28.324.7
7.8*9.49.9
Oakland vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland43.1*35.825.2
7.7*8.59.9
Baltimore27.2*39.445.3
9.6*8.57.5
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville46.1*38.129.1
7.4*8.49.6
Miami18.1*25.732.4
11.1*10.18.9
Buffalo vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo52.1*41.030.3
7.0*8.29.4
New England14.4*22.932.5
11.6*10.49.2
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver26.6*39.447.5
9.6*8.37.3
Kansas City43.5*34.923.4
7.7*8.910.0
Cleveland vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland41.6*34.324.7
7.8*8.810.0
Tennessee19.0*29.734.7
10.8*9.58.6
Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh64.2*55.148.7
5.6*6.47.1
Baltimore33.9*35.136.4
8.8*8.58.6
Cleveland33.8*35.836.2
8.8*8.88.6
Cincinnati33.3*33.335.5
8.8*8.88.7
Tennessee25.0*30.225.6
9.99.59.8
Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston34.0*41.448.7
8.8*7.87.2
Indianapolis40.7*39.838.3
8.1*8.18.3
Jacksonville40.7*36.937.9
8.1*8.38.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.