Brockway Blinkies Playoff Chances 2012

Beat Fightin' Hellfish 120.9-103.7, playoff odds up 0.009 to 99.99%

7-1-0 .875

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fightin' Hellfish 103.7 Brockway Blinkies 120.9	+0.0		+0.0
Swan Divers 138.4 Little Pwag Scrods 113.4			+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Morganville Bees vs Brockway Blinkies	-0.0*InIn

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Brockway Blinkies finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	Count

10.5	-12						In		100					12,166,740	*
10		3	-	2	-	0	In		100	0				3,369,105
		2	-	1	-	2	In		100					56
9	.5	2	-	2	-	1	In		89	11				12,473
9		2	-	3	-	0	In		85	15	0			765,737
		1	-	2	-	2	In		92	8				12
8	.5	1	-	3	-	1	In		43	53	3			1,829
8		1	-	4	-	0	In		36	58	6			75,604
		0	-	3	-	2	In			100				1
7	.5	0	-	4	-	1	94.8	%	3	41	51	5		97
7		0	-	5	-	0	83.3		1	25	57	17		6,163

Total:							100.0	%	99	1	0	0		16,397,817

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Swan Divers 138.4 Little Pwag Scrods 113.4	-0.1
Fightin' Hellfish 103.7 Brockway Blinkies 120.9	-0.0

Week of 11/5	None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

10.5	-12						100
10		3	-	2	-	0	100	0	0
		2	-	1	-	2	100
9	.5	2	-	2	-	1	81	18	1
9		2	-	3	-	0	77	21	1	0
		1	-	2	-	2	83	17
8	.5	1	-	3	-	1	22	49	28	1
8		1	-	4	-	0	17	49	32	3	0
		0	-	3	-	2		100
7	.5	0	-	4	-	1		2	21	45	30	2
7		0	-	5	-	0		1	8	28	39	22	3	0

Total:							98	1	0	0	0	0	0	0