Darkness Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat CAS 20-14, Lost to SUP 11-20, playoff odds up 4.9 to 56.1%
2-2-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR 11 SUP 20 | -16.0 | -12.2 | +4.7 | -0.8 | ||||
| DAR 20 CAS 14 | +15.2 | +9.3 | -6.3 | +0.8 | ||||
| IGE 11 SUP 20 | -0.6 | -1.2 | -1.7 | |||||
| IGE 13 CAS 20 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -1.4 | |||||
| LOO 20 HAL 16 | +0.4 | -1.0 | -0.4 | |||||
| LOO 20 OFF 14 | +0.3 | -0.2 | ||||||
| WTF 14 OFF 20 | +0.3 | -0.5 | -0.2 | |||||
| HAL 18 SUP 20 | -0.5 | -0.3 | ||||||
| WTF 10 HAL 20 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Tuesday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR vs HAL | +21.5*+0.1-21.5 | +5.8-2.0-5.8 | -1.9-0.9+1.9 | +0.7-0.0-0.7 | ||||
| DAR vs OFF | +17.6*-0.9-17.6 | +9.6-3.2-9.6 | -1.6-0.4+1.6 | +0.7-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| WTF vs SUP | -3.6+3.8+3.5 | +0.9+1.8-0.9 | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| IGE vs HAL | +3.2+3.6-3.2 | +0.4*+0.6-0.4 | +1.3+0.6-1.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| WTF vs CAS | -2.5*+0.9+2.5 | -0.5*-0.1+0.5 | -0.5+0.4+0.5 | |||||
| IGE vs OFF | +2.2-2.6-2.2 | +1.0-1.7-1.0 | +0.9+0.5-0.9 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| LOO vs CAS | +1.3-3.1-1.3 | -2.8*-0.7+2.8 | -0.5+0.7+0.5 | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | ||||
| LOO vs SUP | -0.7*-0.1+0.7 | -2.1-0.8+2.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DAR finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Last | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Homefield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Place | Count | |||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 80.2 | % | 22 | 59 | 20 | 0 | No | 844,480 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 52.4 | 6 | 47 | 43 | 4 | No | 6,535 | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.9 | % | 20.8 | 1 | 20 | 53 | 25 | 1 | No | 3,360,087 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 16.7 | 17 | 54 | 29 | No | 24 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 35 | 57 | 6 | 0 | No | 20,023 | |||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0 | 14 | 49 | 31 | 6 | 0 | No | 5,035,283 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 69.0 | No | 17 | 52 | 31 | No | 42 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 21.8 | No | 0 | 21 | 52 | 24 | 2 | No | 20,185 | |||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 5.3 | No | 0 | 5 | 33 | 44 | 17 | 1 | 1.3 | % | 3,359,744 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 5.3 | No | 5 | 37 | 42 | 11 | 5 | 5.3 | 19 | |||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 4 | 37 | 49 | 10 | 9.7 | 6,701 | |||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 21 | 54 | 25 | 24.8 | 844,013 | |||||||||
| Total: | 56.1 | % | 10.4 | % | 1 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1.9 | % | 13,497,136 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:13 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
