Darkness Playoff Chances 2017
Beat CAS 20-14, Lost to SUP 11-20, playoff odds up 4.2 to 45.1%
2-2-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR 11 SUP 20 | -13.3 | -6.7 | +2.1 | -0.5 | ||||
| DAR 20 CAS 14 | +10.2 | +3.5 | -4.1 | +0.5 | ||||
| IGE 11 SUP 20 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -1.0 | |||||
| LOO 20 HAL 16 | +1.0 | -0.5 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| WTF 14 OFF 20 | +0.9 | -0.6 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| LOO 20 OFF 14 | +0.8 | +0.2 | ||||||
| IGE 13 CAS 20 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -1.6 | |||||
| WTF 10 HAL 20 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| HAL 18 SUP 20 | +0.1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Tuesday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR vs HAL | +36.3+8.0-25.6 | +1.0-0.3-0.7 | No-0.2+0.2 | +0.7+0.1-0.5 | ||||
| DAR vs OFF | +17.7+6.1-9.3 | +1.6-0.4-0.8 | -0.2-0.2+0.1 | +0.6+0.1-0.3 | ||||
| IGE vs HAL | +9.0+7.7-2.2 | +0.9+0.2-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | |||||
| WTF vs CAS | -3.7*+0.4+3.1 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| IGE vs OFF | +4.6*-0.7-0.8 | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | +0.5+0.3-0.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | ||||
| WTF vs SUP | -4.7-1.6+0.6 | +0.5+0.3-0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| LOO vs CAS | +0.4-2.8-2.3 | -0.2+0.4+1.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| LOO vs SUP | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | -0.3-0.2+0.3 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DAR finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Last | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Homefield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Place | Count | |||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 36.4 | % | 1 | 36 | 61 | 2 | No | 767,806 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 7.8 | 0 | 8 | 73 | 19 | No | 8,950 | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.2 | % | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 37 | 1 | No | 6,054,851 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | No | 58 | 42 | No | 38 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 95.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 0 | No | 49,545 | |||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 70.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 8 | 63 | 28 | 1 | 0 | No | 15,613,209 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 81.1 | No | 5 | 77 | 17 | 2 | No | 132 | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 38.8 | No | 0 | 39 | 53 | 8 | 0 | No | 78,265 | |||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 9.8 | No | 0 | 10 | 58 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 15,564,406 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 3.9 | No | 4 | 44 | 49 | 3 | No | 77 | ||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 16 | 62 | 22 | 0 | 0.1 | 35,119 | |||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 54 | 41 | 2 | 2.0 | 4,891,810 | |||||||||
| Total: | 45.1 | % | 0.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 43,064,208 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:13 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
