Cash Me Outside Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Lost to DAR 14-20, Beat IGE 20-13, playoff odds down 5.6 to 18%
1-3-0 .250
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR 20 CAS 14 | -12.8 | -5.0 | +11.7 | -0.7 | ||||
| IGE 13 CAS 20 | +11.7 | +4.3 | -16.6 | +0.8 | ||||
| IGE 11 SUP 20 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -2.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| LOO 20 HAL 16 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -1.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| WTF 10 HAL 20 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.6 | |||||
| LOO 20 OFF 14 | -0.3 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||||
| WTF 14 OFF 20 | +0.2 | -0.4 | -0.9 | +0.0 | ||||
| DAR 11 SUP 20 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -1.1 | |||||
| HAL 18 SUP 20 | -0.6 | -1.7 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Tuesday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| WTF vs CAS | -13.1-1.5+13.1 | -1.6-1.4+1.6 | +9.0+0.8-9.0 | -0.7-0.0+0.7 | ||||
| LOO vs CAS | -9.0-1.1+9.0 | No-1.4+1.7 | +5.4+1.8-5.4 | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | ||||
| DAR vs HAL | -2.8+3.8+2.8 | -0.6+0.8+0.6 | -0.2*-0.6+0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| IGE vs OFF | +2.0-1.0-1.9 | +0.4*-0.3-0.4 | +4.7+4.4-4.7 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| LOO vs SUP | -1.7-1.6+1.7 | -0.7-0.8+0.7 | ||||||
| WTF vs SUP | -1.0*+0.3+1.0 | +0.1+0.3-0.1 | +0.6*+0.6-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| DAR vs OFF | -0.5+1.2+0.5 | -0.3*+0.3+0.3 | ||||||
| IGE vs HAL | +0.8*+0.2-0.8 | +5.0+4.7-5.1 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CAS finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Last | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Homefield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Place | Count | |||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.9 | % | 26.3 | % | 1 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 3 | No | 843,036 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 88.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 32 | 55 | 11 | 0 | No | 6,678 | |||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 44.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 44 | 11 | 0 | No | 3,358,929 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 41.2 | No | 41 | 53 | 6 | No | 17 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 13.1 | No | 0 | 13 | 54 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 20,149 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 23 | 1 | 1.4 | 5,038,896 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 26 | 54 | 17 | 2 | 2.2 | 46 | ||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 33 | 54 | 10 | 10.1 | 20,189 | |||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 15 | 62 | 23 | 23.0 | 3,357,587 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 82 | 18 | 17.6 | 17 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 33 | 66 | 66.3 | 6,776 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 31 | 69 | 68.7 | 844,816 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 18.0 | % | 1.7 | % | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 26 | 11 | 10.6 | % | 13,497,136 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:13 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
