Cash Me Outside Playoff Chances 2017
Lost to DAR 14-20, Beat IGE 20-13, playoff odds down 1.1 to 6.7%
1-3-0 .250
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DAR 20 CAS 14 | -5.3 | -0.7 | +9.5 | -0.4 | ||||
| IGE 13 CAS 20 | +4.4 | +0.6 | -24.8 | +0.6 | ||||
| WTF 14 OFF 20 | +0.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 | |||||
| WTF 10 HAL 20 | +0.4 | +1.1 | -0.0 | |||||
| IGE 11 SUP 20 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -2.8 | +0.0 | ||||
| DAR 11 SUP 20 | +0.2 | -0.1 | -1.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| HAL 18 SUP 20 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -1.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| LOO 20 HAL 16 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Tuesday, 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Homefield | 100.0* | Last Place | 100.0* | Average seed |
| WTF vs CAS | -5.9-1.6+4.9 | -0.1No+0.0 | +4.3+1.8-3.5 | -0.6-0.2+0.5 | ||||
| LOO vs CAS | -1.5+5.2+8.5 | No-0.0+0.3 | +0.5*-0.0-2.9 | -0.1+0.2+0.4 | ||||
| DAR vs HAL | -3.4+1.8+2.4 | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| DAR vs OFF | -2.2*+0.2+1.2 | |||||||
| WTF vs SUP | -1.1-1.0+0.1 | +0.2*-0.0-0.0 | -0.2-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| IGE vs OFF | +1.0+0.5-0.2 | +8.2+7.6-1.5 | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| IGE vs HAL | +0.4-0.4-0.1 | +8.1+7.4-1.9 | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||||
| LOO vs SUP | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CAS finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Last | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Homefield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Place | Count | |||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.7 | % | 7.2 | % | 0 | 7 | 41 | 48 | 3 | No | 327,232 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 90.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 18 | 73 | 9 | No | 4,840 | ||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 48 | 5 | 0 | No | 3,540,927 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 43.5 | No | 9 | 35 | 52 | 4 | No | 23 | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 27.5 | No | 0 | 27 | 59 | 13 | 0 | No | 36,304 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6.8 | No | 0 | 7 | 37 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 12,881,572 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.2 | No | 3 | 32 | 59 | 6 | No | 126 | ||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 10 | 59 | 31 | 0 | 0.1 | 80,449 | |||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 43 | 54 | 1 | 1.2 | 18,119,098 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 11 | 87 | 2 | 1.9 | 106 | |||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 3 | 82 | 15 | 14.9 | 50,082 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 83 | 17 | 16.8 | 8,023,449 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 6.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 41 | 4 | 3.7 | % | 43,064,208 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:13 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
