Seminary Sunday Playoff Chances Aug2011

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Fury	12	1	6	-	1	-	0	10	In			100									1.0	+0.12	2	.743	Fury
Sin City	12	1	6	-	1	-	0	20	In			55	43	2							1.5	-0.31	3	.830	Sin City
MD Sparks	13	1	6	-	0	-	1	14	In			45	40	15							1.7	+0.49	1	.761	MD Sparks
Hitmen	8	2	4	-	2	-	0	8	In			0	17	69	13	1	0				3.0	-0.20	4	.686	Hitmen
Stingrays	8	1	4	-	3	-	0	13	In				55		24	17	4				3.1	-0.61	10	.767	Stingrays
Iced Out	10		3	-	1	-	4	6	In					81	19						3.2	+0.25	5	.672	Iced Out
Mantis	9	1	3	-	1	-	3	7	In				43	2	35	18	2				3.3	+0.35	6	.675	Mantis
Phantoms	8	1	4	-	3	-	0	2	In					14	78	8	1	0			4.0	+0.29	13	.542	Phantoms
Gladiators	4	2	1	-	3	-	2	-6	In					0	8	72	14	4	2		5.2	+0.04	11	.364	Gladiators
Haze	4	1	2	-	5	-	0	-4	In						0	11	45	44	0		6.3	-0.47	15	.411	Haze
Plague	3	2	1	-	4	-	1	-11	In					0	1	8	39	46	6		6.5	+0.16	14	.299	Plague
Top Shelf	0	2	0	-	6	-	0	-23	In							1	1	6	92		7.9		17	.126	Top Shelf
Shock and Awe	6	2	2	-	2	-	2	1	97.6	%	-1.1		2	17	3	34	30	11	2		5.2	+0.06	12	.536	Shock and Awe
Loud Mouths	6	1	2	-	3	-	2	-4	76.8		-18.6					9	40	27	23		6.6	-0.35	8	.372	Loud Mouths
Group Therapy	5	2	2	-	3	-	1	-8	76.7		-16.0				15	13	15	33	23		6.4	-0.51	9	.294	Group Therapy
Heavy Breathers	4	2	2	-	4	-	0	-12	48.9		+35.8				4	9	8	28	47	4	7.2	+0.97	7	.199	Heavy Breathers
Blues Brothers	0	2	0	-	6	-	0	-13	Out										4	96	9.0	-0.28	16	.212	Blues Brothers

Week of 7/24
Mantis 2 Fury 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fury	+10.9		+0.9
Mantis	-10.5		-0.9

Blues Brothers 0 Iced Out 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Iced Out	+10.8		+0.9
Blues Brothers	-10.5		-0.9

Stingrays 6 Group Therapy 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Stingrays	+10.6		+0.9
Group Therapy	-10.6		-0.9

Heavy Breathers 0 Loud Mouths 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Loud Mouths	+10.8		+0.9
Heavy Breathers	-10.4		-0.9

Top Shelf 0 Plague 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Plague			+0.7
Top Shelf			-0.7

Phantoms 5 Gladiators 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phantoms			+0.8
Gladiators			-0.7

MD Sparks 4 Hitmen 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MD Sparks			+0.7
Hitmen			-0.7

Haze 0 Sin City 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sin City			+0.7
Haze			-0.7

Week of 7/31
Shock and Awe 0 Heavy Breathers 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fury	-0.4
Stingrays	-0.2
Iced Out	-0.2
Mantis	-1.2
Shock and Awe	-12.7		-0.9
Loud Mouths	-0.4
Group Therapy	-1.2
Heavy Breathers	+17.6		+0.9
Blues Brothers	-1.3

Mantis 7 Group Therapy 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fury	-0.2
Stingrays	+0.2
Mantis	+14.4		+0.8
Shock and Awe	*+0.1
Group Therapy	-14.8		-0.7
Heavy Breathers	*+0.1
Blues Brothers	*+0.1

Stingrays 8 Blues Brothers 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fury	+0.4		-0.0
Stingrays	+2.7		+0.5
Iced Out	+0.3		-0.0
Mantis	+1.3
Shock and Awe	+0.9
Loud Mouths	+0.3		-0.0
Group Therapy	+1.5		+0.0
Heavy Breathers	+1.4		+0.0
Blues Brothers	-8.7		-0.5

Fury 1 Iced Out 5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fury	-3.6		-0.7
Iced Out	+2.7		+0.7
Heavy Breathers	+0.2
Blues Brothers	+0.3

Phantoms 9 Plague 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phantoms			+0.7
Plague			-0.7

Haze 2 Hitmen 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hitmen			+0.6
Haze			-0.6

Gladiators 3 Sin City 5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sin City			+0.5
Gladiators			-0.5
Haze			+0.0
Plague			-0.0

MD Sparks 4 Top Shelf 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MD Sparks			+0.5
Phantoms			-0.0
Top Shelf			-0.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Seminary Sunday Playoff Chances Aug2011

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