How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gold Kings 3 Scouts 2 (ot)+0.6
National 2 North Stars 3 (ot)*+0.3
Maple Leafs 1 Blues 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators vs Thrashers-5.3-5.4+0.9+6.2+6.4
-0.4-0.4+0.0+0.5+0.5
Reign vs Gold Kings-0.6-0.6*-0.1+0.6+0.7
Scouts vs Rink Rats-0.4-0.4*-0.1+0.5+0.4
Knucklers vs National+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.4-0.3
+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0
Blues vs Canadiens-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Thrashers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
11028-000In982436
10424-022In1002*
10324-031In425812*
10223-032In445652*
10123-041In39584106*
10022-042In27684259*
9922-051In25687615*
9821-052In16741101,294*
9720-053In10731712,680*
9620-062In66726204,848*
9519-063In36034309,093*
9419-072In1494270015,385*
9318-073In13849121025,252*
9218-082In02751202039,317*
9117-083In017492950058,871*
9017-092In0104238910084,689*
8916-093In05324417200115,800*
8816-0102In2214426600152,664*
8715-0103In11239351210191,234*
8615-0112100.0%06294020400233,315*
8514-0113100.00218383010100269,657*
8414-012299.90110313718300302,574*
8313-012399.4004213828810325,776*
8213-013297.8011232371620162,025
12-012497.8011232371620175,302*
8112-013393.9005223927600156,965
13-014193.9005223927600175,309*
8012-014286.10021335371310321,002*
7911-014374.101626422230293,510*
7811-015258.400216403480259,954*
7710-015341.500183342161218,755*
7610-016226.600323462620178,914*
759-016314.90114433840139,691*
749-01727.4007364980105,201*
738-01733.303265615074,982*
728-01821.301175724151,852*
717-01830.400105434233,866*
707-01920.1064744321,588*
696-01930.0023853612,636*
686-0202Out12860127,325*
675-0203Out02063173,957*
665-0212Out01362252,016*
655-0221Out075934971*
644-0222Out35344439*
634-0231Out64153176*
623-0232Out326887*
613-0241Out237726*
602-0242Out33679*
58-59Out1003*
540-0280Out199436
Total:77.8%0251013151616128204,230,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Bruins 0 Jets 3 -0.0
Sith 2 Titans 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators vs Thrashers+0.6+0.6-0.1-0.7-0.7
Knucklers vs National-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Oilers+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
11028-000946
10424-0225050
10324-0312525428
10223-03212502910
10123-04114233429
10022-04242343256
9922-051215383680
9821-0521832431520
9720-0534214525500
9620-06211140351210
9519-0630530412040
9419-07202193930910
9318-0730110323717300
9218-08204213727810
9117-08300212323516300
9017-0920052136279100
8916-0930211303417410
8816-0102005203527112000
8715-0103001102734206100
8615-01120004163129144000
8514-0113001822322410200
8414-0122003122731206100
8313-0123015173029154000
8213-0132001821322510200
12-0124001821322510200
8112-0133003112632206100
8012-0142001416313015300
11-0134001416303015300
7911-0143000172134269200
7811-0152002112833195100
7710-0153001417333013200
7610-016200182434248100
759-016300313303317400
749-017201520342810200
738-017300210273420610
728-018200416333014300
717-0183017233424810
707-01920213303317400
696-01930162035281020
686-0202011127342150
675-0203014193431112
665-021200182936214
655-0221041738328
644-0222028314019
634-023117184728
623-02322173744
613-024143562
602-0242114444
58-59100
540-0280298
Total:0000124689101111109753210000