How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Thrashers 5 Sith 2 +3.5
+0.3
National 6 Rink Rats 2 -0.7
Silverbacks 2 Scouts 4 -0.4
Oilers 6 Knucklers 4 +0.4
North Stars 2 Maple Leafs 3 +0.3
Thunder 5 Blues 4 +0.2
Flyers 2 Gold Kings 8 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rebels vs Thrashers-2.4-2.4+0.7+3.8+3.7
-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.3+0.3
Blues vs Bruins-0.3*-0.3*+0.0+0.6+0.4
Senators vs North Stars+0.3*+0.3*-0.2*-0.5-0.4
Knucklers vs Rink Rats-0.4*-0.2*+0.0*+0.3+0.3
Sith vs Thunder+0.2*+0.4*+0.1*-0.3-0.3
Reign vs National-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Thrashers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
114-147In100325*
11345-0146In96425*
11245-0155In10036*
11143-0148In98296*
11044-0165In964175*
10944-0174In955269*
10843-0175In928376*
10742-0176In9280616*
10642-0185In86140937*
10541-0186In801911,460*
10441-0195In7722102,221*
10340-0196In6928303,181*
10240-0205In6134504,630*
10139-0206In54388006,438*
10039-0215In45421218,858*
9938-0216In3744162012,283*
9838-0225In28462240016,289*
9737-0226In21442861021,660*
9637-0235In154033101027,361*
9536-0236In1035371520034,553*
9435-0237In628402240043,056*
9335-0246In3213928810052,546*
9234-0247In21435341320062,443*
9134-0256In1930381940073,156*
9033-0257In0523382671085,157*
8933-0266In03163633111096,423*
8832-0267In011031371830107,295*
8732-0276100.0%006243925600118,358*
8631-0277100.0031737321010127,430*
8531-028699.9011132371620135,773*
8430-028799.7016253923500141,093*
8330-029699.3003183931910145,161*
8229-029798.300112343614200145,900*
8129-030696.5017284021300144,671*
8028-030793.2004214028600140,756*
7928-031687.800214373511100134,629*
7827-031780.5019314017200126,400*
7727-032670.7005244224500116,271*
7626-032759.502174031910106,056*
7526-033647.101113537142094,464*
7425-033735.50072840214083,279*
7325-034625.10042140277171,919*
7224-034716.50215373411160,690*
7124-035610.600110323817250,805*
7023-03576.0006264123441,588*
6923-03663.203204030733,503*
6822-03671.6021437361126,314*
6722-03760.701932421720,470*
6622-03850.300626452315,696*
6521-03860.10321453111,735*
6421-03950.0021444408,769*
6320-03960.0011140486,295*
6220-0405Out0737564,439*
6119-0406Out0433623,145*
6019-0415Out0325722,154*
5918-0416Out0120791,400*
5818-0425Out11584919*
5717-0426Out11584582*
5617-0435Out01189378*
5517-0444Out1090214*
5416-0445Out595135*
5315-0446Out39792*
5215-0455Out10038*
5114-0456Out49625*
17-50Out100317*
Total:79.7%246913151614106312,783,728

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Thrashers 5 Sith 2 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rebels vs Thrashers+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.7-0.7
Wild Wings vs Red Wings+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
114-147100
11345-0146928
11245-0155973
11143-0148919
11044-016581163
10944-017474242
10843-017568276
10742-0176623350
10642-018551381010
10541-018643431220
10441-019535441930
10340-019625442551
10240-02051939311020
10139-020612363316300
10039-02158273622610
9938-0216421342811200
9838-02252133132174000
9737-0226182433248100
9637-02350417313014400
9536-023602102633218100
9435-023701518312813300
9335-02460021126312171000
9234-0247015183128133100
9134-0256002102531218200
9033-02570015173028154100
8933-0266002102431239200
8832-02670014152829165100
8732-02760018213025113000
8631-0277003132630197100
8531-02860016182926144100
8430-02870021023302292000
8330-02960014152729176100
8229-029700027202925124100
8129-03060003112430218200
8028-03070015162828165100
7928-031600028203024123000
7827-03170013122529208200
7727-03260016172827155100
7626-03270029223024113000
7526-03360141325291972000
7425-03370016182926144100
7325-03460031023302210200
7224-03470015152728176100
7124-03560002820302512300
7023-0357001413273019710
6923-036600171931271230
6822-03670031226312061
6722-03760016203228122
6622-03850003122833194
6521-038600172235278
6421-039500415333413
6320-03960210303820
6220-0405015244228
6119-040603174436
6019-041502113849
5918-04160173459
5818-0425033264
5717-042632474
5617-0435122078
5517-044412079
5416-04451189
5315-0446496
5215-0455892
5114-0456892
5014-0465694
17-49100
Total:011234567888877654332110