How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators 5 Red Wings 2 +3.8
+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators vs Canadiens+3.1+3.0-0.3-4.2-4.1
+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.4-0.4
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
111-162In1001,675*
11050-0236In1000828*
10949-0237In9911,209*
10848-0238In10001,622*
10748-0247In9912,318*
10647-0248In9823,268*
10547-0257In97304,264*
10446-0258In95405,975*
10346-0267In94607,635*
10245-0268In928009,994*
10145-0277In8811012,686*
10044-0278In85141016,019*
9944-0287In80191019,995*
9843-0288In74242024,567*
9743-0297In66304029,729*
9642-0298In583571035,022*
9542-0307In49401010040,918*
9441-0308In4043142047,323*
9341-0317In31442140053,967*
9240-0318In234227710060,413*
9140-0327In1538321220066,822*
9039-0328In10323618400073,503*
8939-0337In5243624810078,902*
8838-0338In31633311430083,330*
8738-0347100.0%19273321710087,153*
8637-0348100.00519332812300090,255*
8537-035799.90211273219610091,553*
8436-035899.701619322712300091,995*
8336-036798.800312263120710090,904*
8235-036896.601619312713300089,429*
8135-037791.90031126322071084,704*
8034-037883.600161831271330080,505*
7934-038771.100031126322171075,440*
7833-038856.50016183128133069,469*
7733-039740.9003122733206163,547*
7632-039827.001620332811256,761*
7532-040716.100313303417349,876*
7431-04088.80018243625643,719*
7331-04174.400041736321136,979*
7230-04182.00021131391731,754*
7130-04270.801725422526,140*
7029-04280.300419443321,547*
6929-04370.200213424317,607*
6828-04380.1019385214,089*
6728-04470.0006336011,145*
6627-04480.000428688,379*
6527-0457Out0222756,552*
6426-0458Out118815,112*
6326-0467Out114853,744*
6226-0476Out09902,766*
6125-0477Out07931,871*
6024-0478Out6941,415*
5924-0487Out4961,001*
5823-0488Out397631*
5723-0497Out298441*
5623-0506Out199304*
5522-0507Out298213*
53-54Out100234*
5221-0526Out29855*
4-51Out100279*
Total:78.0%12111110998876541,939,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators 5 Red Wings 2 -0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators vs Canadiens-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.9+0.9

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
116-162100
11552-0207991
11452-0216100
11351-02171000
11250-02181000
11150-02271000
11050-0236991
10949-0237982
10848-0238982
10748-02479640
10647-02489550
10547-02579280
10446-025889111
10346-0267851410
10245-0268791920
10145-0277732430
10044-02786629500
9944-028756358100
9843-0288464012200
9743-0297364218400
9642-02982541257100
9542-0307173730123000
9441-0308103034196100
9341-03175213326123000
9240-031821327301972000
9140-032716192926144100
9039-03280210232922103100
8939-03370141425271982000
8838-033800161526261772000
8738-0347002717262515610000
8637-0348002718262415610000
8537-0357002818262415510000
8436-0358000271826241561000
8336-0367000271726251562000
8235-03680002616252516720000
8135-03770000261525261772000
8034-0378000161525261882000
7934-03870000161424261882000
7833-0388000161424261882000
7733-0397000161525261772000
7632-039800026162626166100
7532-04070002819272514410
7431-040800013102229231020
7331-0417000141326291961
7230-04180027193028132
7130-04270003112633215
7029-04280001618343010
6929-0437000312303718
6828-04380017244127
6728-04470003184236
6627-044802123947
6527-04570183457
6426-0458052966
6326-0467032374
6226-0476011781
6125-0477011287
6024-047801090
5924-04870793
5823-0488694
5723-0497496
5623-0506298
5522-0507397
5421-0508199
5322-0525100
5221-0526298
4-51100
Total:666555555544444444333322