How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
National 6 Rink Rats 2 -0.9
Thrashers 5 Sith 2 -0.7
Silverbacks 2 Scouts 4 -0.5
North Stars 2 Maple Leafs 3 +0.5
Oilers 6 Knucklers 4 +0.4
Flyers 2 Gold Kings 8 -0.2
Canadiens 4 Rebels 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reign vs National+5.2+5.4*-0.2-5.6-5.6
+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.3-0.3
Senators vs North Stars+0.5*+0.3*-0.0-0.8-0.8
Rebels vs Thrashers+0.5*+0.4*-0.1-0.7-0.7
Sith vs Thunder+0.4+0.7*-0.1*-0.5-0.4
Blues vs Bruins-0.4*-0.4*+0.0+0.6+0.4
Knucklers vs Rink Rats-0.4*-0.4*+0.2*-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Reign finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
107-142In100299*
10642-0148In93715*
10542-0157In881225*
10443-0174In861443*
10341-0167In6928368*
10241-0176In68275129*
10141-0185In653231195*
10040-0186In5040101326*
9940-0195In40451420524*
9839-0196In29501830759*
9738-0197In274524501,165*
9638-0206In1742338101,833*
9538-0215In1137371322,631*
9437-0216In7304020303,832*
9337-0225In4234026705,398*
9236-0226In217373211207,592*
9136-0235In1113236173010,648*
9035-0236In0624382561014,079*
8935-0245In03183631111018,439*
8834-0246100.0%021131361730024,361*
8733-0247100.001624372571030,748*
8633-025699.9003173631122038,470*
8532-025799.7021031361840047,347*
8432-026699.301624372571057,468*
8331-026798.50031635321220067,788*
8231-027696.60011030361930079,955*
8130-027793.500623382660091,422*
8030-028688.1031636331110102,617*
7929-028780.5011031381720114,121*
7829-029670.9006244025400124,219*
7728-029759.4003173932810133,061*
7628-030647.7011135381310140,105*
7527-030735.601728431930144,262*
7427-031625.400421432650146,654*
7326-031716.800215413391146,729*
7226-032610.401103638141142,651*
7125-03276.10063042203139,158*
7025-03363.40032342265131,869*
6924-03371.6021741338122,397*
6824-03460.80112373912112,039*
6723-03470.4008324317100,783*
6623-03560.100526462489,187*
6523-03650.10320463177,011*
6422-03660.00215453965,226*
6322-03750.00111424654,317*
6221-03760.0007375544,779*
6121-0385Out05326336,087*
6020-0386Out03277028,469*
5920-0395Out02227622,280*
5819-0396Out01178216,939*
5719-0405Out1138612,618*
5618-0406Out011899,441*
5518-0415Out08926,662*
5417-0416Out05954,747*
5317-0425Out04963,291*
5216-0426Out2982,200*
5116-0435Out2981,481*
5015-0436Out199947*
4915-0445Out199628*
4814-0446Out298380*
4714-0455Out0100233*
14-46Out100581*
Total:37.9%0012461015191815102,783,728

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Reign vs National-0.5-0.5+0.0+0.6+0.6

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
111-142100
11046-0144100
10945-0145100
10845-01545050
10744-0155295714
10642-01488020
10543-0165483616
10443-01742656127
10341-01672635353
10241-017627422282
10141-018517423083
10040-01861032341861
9940-019572236241010
9839-019631631321430
9738-019711228322151
9638-0206151934271220
9538-0215021328331861
9437-0216172131271020
9337-02250312283119610
9236-022601720312611300
9136-02350003132730196100
9035-023601619302613300
8935-0245003112531217200
8834-02460015172928155100
8733-02470029223123102000
8633-0256014142629186100
8532-02570017192926134100
8432-02660021023292210200
8331-02670015142728186100
8231-02760027192825144100
8130-027700031023292210200
8030-02860015142628187100
7929-028700271829261441000
7829-029600310232922102000
7728-02970015152728186100
7628-03060027192926134100
7527-03070003112430219200
7427-03160015162828165100
7326-03170002821302411300
7226-0326014132730196100
7125-0327001719302612300
7025-033600312253020710
6924-0337000161930271330
6824-034600031226322061
6723-03470016203228112
6623-0356003132933184
6523-036500182335267
6422-036600416343312
6322-037500210303918
6221-03760016244226
6121-0385003184336
6020-0386002134145
5920-039500183754
5819-03960053164
5719-04050032671
5618-0406022078
5518-041511683
5417-041601288
5317-042500990
5216-0426694
5116-0435496
5015-0436397
4915-0445298
4814-0446496
4714-0455199
14-46100
Total:000001112334567889998764