How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Red Wings-3.1-2.8+0.3+3.3+3.3
-0.4-0.3*+0.0+0.4+0.4
Thrashers vs Bruins-0.3-0.5*-0.0*+0.3+0.4
Rink Rats vs Gold Kings+0.2*+0.3*-0.0-0.5-0.2
Rebels vs Thunder+0.2*+0.2*-0.1-0.5-0.3
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.3
Knucklers vs Silverbacks+0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.3-0.1
Scouts vs North Stars+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.2
National vs Flyers+0.1*+0.2*+0.0*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
116-153In100453*
11547-0166In991123*
11447-0175In991199*
11346-0176In100323*
11246-0185In1000471*
11145-0186In1000712*
11045-0195In10001,132*
10944-0196In9911,720*
10843-0197In9912,491*
10743-0206In98203,586*
10642-0207In9735,139*
10542-0216In96406,973*
10441-0217In94609,443*
10341-0226In928012,601*
10240-0227In89110016,760*
10140-0236In84151021,673*
10039-0237In79191027,482*
9939-0246In73253034,720*
9838-0247In653040042,075*
9738-0256In573670050,574*
9637-0257In49401110060,341*
9537-0266In39431620070,953*
9436-0267In30442140080,888*
9336-0276In22422871091,269*
9235-0277In15383312200101,865*
9135-0286In93137184000111,965*
9034-0287In52437258100119,651*
8934-0296100.0%3163331143000127,403*
8833-0297100.01102734216100132,797*
8733-0306100.00520342711200136,531*
8632-0307100.002122932185100137,417*
8532-031699.801721332610200136,310*
8431-031799.3003142931175100133,961*
8331-032698.100172233259200127,654*
8230-032795.1000314303117410120,794*
8130-033689.200182333249200112,516*
8029-033780.200415303116400103,406*
7929-034667.2002924332481093,298*
7828-034752.50004163231143082,829*
7728-035637.7002102635226072,530*
7627-035724.9001519342911162,329*
7527-036614.700212313517352,100*
7426-03678.0017243825543,376*
7326-03764.1004183733935,519*
7225-03771.90021233391428,328*
7125-03860.801728442122,674*
7024-03870.30421452917,417*
6924-03960.10216453713,439*
6823-03970.0011141479,988*
6723-04060.000737557,462*
6622-0407Out0432645,454*
6522-0416Out0326713,812*
6421-0417Out220782,687*
6321-0426Out118821,849*
6220-0427Out015851,322*
6120-0436Out0991881*
6019-0437Out694494*
5919-0446Out595344*
5818-0447Out397231*
5718-0456Out100146*
5617-0457Out29866*
15-55Out100398*
Total:83.8%1212121111109765322,703,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Red Wings+0.6+0.6-0.0-0.7-0.7
Predators vs Sith+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
119-153100
11849-0155973
11748-0156982
11648-0165928
11547-0166919
11447-01758812
11346-01768713
11246-018586140
11145-018680200
11045-019576240
10944-019671281
10843-019765341
10743-0206584020
10642-0207544240
10542-0216464950
10441-0217395291
10341-022632551210
10240-022725551820
10140-0236195324400
10039-0237144930710
9939-02469433611200
9838-024753439174000
9738-025632639247100
9637-0257118363012300
9537-02661103033196100
9436-026706213326113000
9336-027603132830186100
9235-02770172031251231000
9135-0286003122529208200
9034-028700161728261551000
8934-02960029212823114100
8833-029700141224282092000
8733-030600015152627177200
8632-0307000271727251551000
8532-031600029202724134100
8431-0317001310212822113100
8331-0326001412232721103000
8230-032700015132527198200
8130-033600161626261762000
8029-033700027182726155100
7929-034600029202824124100
7828-03470013112329219200
7728-03560015142628187100
7627-035700027182826144100
7527-036600031022302310200
7426-0367001414282918510
7326-037600272031261120
7225-037700313273219510
7125-038600172033271110
7024-03870031330331730
6924-039601823352570
6823-0397004163433121
6723-040602103036193
6622-04070162439264
6522-0416031739338
6421-04170212353912
6321-0426018284419
6220-0427005254623
6120-043603155131
6019-043700144541
5919-0446184646
5818-0447103555
5718-045643363
5617-045723662
5517-04662476
5417-04751684
5316-04762773
5216-04852575
15-51100
Total:256667766666554443321100