How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
National 6 Rink Rats 2 +4.6
+0.3
Silverbacks 2 Scouts 4 -0.6
Thrashers 5 Sith 2 -0.6
Oilers 6 Knucklers 4 +0.5
North Stars 2 Maple Leafs 3 +0.4
Thunder 5 Blues 4 +0.2
Flyers 2 Gold Kings 8 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reign vs National-4.8-5.1+0.4+5.2+5.2
-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.3+0.3
Blues vs Bruins-0.4-0.5*+0.1+0.7+0.5
Senators vs North Stars+0.4+0.5*-0.1*-0.5-0.6
Rebels vs Thrashers+0.4*+0.4*-0.2*-0.5-0.6
Knucklers vs Rink Rats-0.4*-0.3*+0.0+0.5+0.3
Sith vs Thunder+0.3*+0.2*-0.1*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the National finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
112-146In100318*
11146-0163In95519*
11044-0156In91932*
10944-0165In92861*
10843-0166In919127*
10742-0167In9091181*
10642-0176In9190339*
10542-0185In82171505*
10441-0186In76231814*
10341-0195In7226201,211*
10240-0196In6432401,905*
10140-0205In5736702,744*
10039-0206In48411014,024*
9939-0215In374615205,634*
9838-0216In304621407,735*
9738-0225In2245275010,698*
9637-0226In16413391014,082*
9536-0227In103637152019,008*
9436-0236In629402140024,375*
9335-0237In422392781031,177*
9235-0246In2153534122038,838*
9134-0247In1930381940048,083*
9034-0256In0623382671057,936*
8933-0257In03163532122067,995*
8833-0266100.0%011030371830079,901*
8732-0267100.000623382560091,352*
8632-0276100.00031636321110102,718*
8531-027799.9011031371730114,462*
8431-028699.7016243924500123,459*
8330-028799.20031738311010132,174*
8230-029698.100111333715200139,101*
8129-029796.0017264022400144,023*
8029-030692.2004193930710145,751*
7928-030786.8021336371210144,404*
7828-031679.001829411830142,153*
7727-031768.9004224225500137,636*
7627-032657.3002163932910130,481*
7526-032745.3011035381520122,059*
7426-033633.800628412140111,187*
7325-033723.700321402871100,500*
7225-034615.60114383412188,456*
7124-03479.6019323818377,333*
7024-03565.6005254024465,589*
6924-03653.0003194031755,023*
6823-03661.6021336371245,681*
6722-03670.701832421736,627*
6622-03760.300526452429,207*
6522-03850.200320463122,930*
6421-03860.10215443917,534*
6321-0395Out110414813,141*
6220-0396Out0737569,824*
6120-0405Out0431647,239*
6019-0406Out0226725,094*
5919-0415Out0221773,540*
5818-0416Out116832,488*
5718-0425Out013871,710*
5617-0426Out010901,046*
5517-0435Out793690*
5416-0436Out0694431*
5316-0445Out298253*
5215-0446Out397155*
5115-0455Out199102*
5014-0456Out29863*
16-49Out100370*
Total:69.7%124710141617139532,783,728

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
National 6 Rink Rats 2 -0.6
Flyers 2 Gold Kings 8 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Reign vs National+0.6+0.6-0.0-0.6-0.6
Maple Leafs vs Oilers+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
116-146100
11547-01355050
11446-0136100
11346-0145919
11245-0146928
11146-01638416
11044-015681163
10944-016574252
10843-016674242
10742-01676228101
10642-0176563571
10542-018545401310
10441-018635441830
10341-0195274423500
10240-0196194030910
10140-02051236341431
10039-02068293720510
9939-0215422352710200
9838-0216215313116410
9738-022519253422810
9637-02260517312914300
9536-02270210273221710
9436-023601619312713300
9335-0237002122631217100
9235-024601618312813300
9134-0247003112631217100
9034-0256015173028144100
8933-0257002102431229200
8833-0266014152829165100
8732-02670028213024113000
8632-0276003132629197200
8531-02770016182926144100
8431-02860021023302292000
8330-028700141527281761000
8230-029600027202925124100
8129-02970003112429219200
8029-03060015162728165100
7928-030700282030251230000
7828-03160003122530208200
7727-03170016162828155100
7627-03260029213024113000
7526-03270013132529197200
7426-033600016182926144100
7325-033700021023302210200
7225-03460014152729176100
7124-03470002820302512300
7024-035601313263020710
6924-036500171930271330
6823-036600031226312071
6722-03670016193228122
6622-03760003122833194
6522-038500172235277
6421-0386000416333412
6321-039500210294019
6220-0396016234328
6120-0405003174237
6019-040601124047
5919-04150183655
5818-0416052965
5718-0425032572
5617-042612178
5517-043501585
5416-043601387
5316-0445991
5215-0446694
5115-0455298
5014-0456298
48-49100
4712-0467892
16-46100
Total:001123345677888776543221