How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 7 Canadiens 1 +3.9
+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs-3.8-3.7*+0.3+3.6+3.8
-0.4-0.4*+0.0+0.4+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
112-164In100410*
11150-0237In991168*
11049-0238In100256*
10949-0247In991362*
10848-0248In991505*
10748-0257In991779*
10647-0258In9821,032*
10547-0267In9821,381*
10446-0268In97301,855*
10346-0277In96402,482*
10245-0278In93703,148*
10145-0287In919004,024*
10044-0288In881204,981*
9944-0297In8316106,242*
9843-0298In7721207,693*
9743-0307In7027309,322*
9642-0308In633250011,034*
9542-0317In543781012,833*
9441-0318In45401320014,871*
9341-0327In34441930017,066*
9240-0328In25432561019,103*
9140-0337In1740311020021,098*
9039-0338In1133351641023,051*
8939-0347In6253624810025,040*
8838-0348In31833301330026,713*
8738-0357In11127322071028,028*
8637-0358100.0%151932271330028,895*
8537-036799.80212273120710029,518*
8436-036899.60161931261330029,825*
8336-037798.500311253121710029,157*
8235-037895.60161829281441029,016*
8135-038789.800210243122820027,915*
8034-038880.000151629291541026,689*
7934-039766.6002924322392024,783*
7833-039850.70014163029164023,371*
7733-040734.900292433238121,176*
7632-040821.901517323014218,997*
7532-041712.500210263621516,890*
7431-04186.4016203529914,878*
7331-04272.80021333371412,853*
7230-04281.1001828422211,079*
7130-04370.50042243319,226*
7029-04380.1021443407,726*
6929-04470.10011139506,263*
6828-04480.000734595,001*
6728-0457Out0429674,003*
6627-0458Out0223753,162*
6527-0467Out0119802,397*
6426-0468Out116831,828*
6326-0477Out010901,384*
6225-0478Out07931,060*
6125-0487Out0595785*
6024-0488Out496541*
5924-0497Out496380*
5823-0498Out199254*
56-57Out100305*
5522-0517Out19979*
4-54Out100207*
Total:75.5%121110998887765633,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 7 Canadiens 1 -0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs+0.8+0.7*-0.0-0.8-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
115-164100
11451-0218982
112-113100
11150-0237982
11049-02381000
10949-0247991
10849-0256991
10748-0257973
10647-0258964
10547-02679460
10446-02689280
10346-027789110
10245-027883161
10145-0287772020
10044-0288712630
9944-02976133610
9843-029853371010
9743-0307414115200
9642-03083242215100
9542-031721392810200
9441-0318133432164100
9341-032772434239200
9240-03283153029165100
9140-033718213024113100
9039-033803132528198200
8939-03470161626271662000
8838-034800271827251451000
8738-035700281926241351000
8637-035800292027231351000
8537-0367000391926231351000
8436-0368000281827241451000
8336-0377000271726241661000
8235-037800026162525177200
8135-0387000161525261782000
8034-038800151424271882000
7934-0397000015132327199200
7833-0398000151323272093000
7733-040700015142327199200
7632-040800015152526187200
7532-04170002616262716510
7431-041800281929251330
7331-042700031123312191
7230-0428015162930163
7130-043700292334257
7029-043801415323413
6929-044700210274121
6828-0448015214232
6728-045703154141
6627-04580193653
6527-04670063261
6426-0468042768
6326-0477022177
6225-047811683
6125-048711288
6024-048800991
5924-04971792
5823-0498496
5723-0507199
5623-0516298
5522-0517397
5422-0526298
4-53100
Total:665555554444444444333332