How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 7 Canadiens 1 +3.1
+0.3
Thunder 1 Reign 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs-2.8-2.6*+0.2+2.6+2.9
-0.3-0.3*+0.0+0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
115-164In100982*
11451-0218In1000393*
11351-0227In1000632*
11250-0228In100964*
11150-0237In9911,343*
11049-0238In10001,921*
10949-0247In9912,437*
10848-0248In9913,514*
10748-0257In9914,703*
10647-0258In9826,318*
10547-0267In97308,268*
10446-0268In964010,652*
10346-0277In955013,496*
10245-0278In928017,230*
10145-0287In8910021,109*
10044-0288In86131025,710*
9944-0297In81181030,646*
9843-0298In75232036,388*
9743-0307In68284042,697*
9642-0308In603460048,913*
9542-0317In523891055,590*
9441-0318In42421420061,807*
9341-0327In33441940068,338*
9240-0328In244226710074,099*
9140-0337In1639321120079,153*
9039-0338In10333517400084,376*
8939-0347100.0%62536248100087,618*
8838-0348In31734301330089,694*
8738-0357100.0110273320610090,971*
8637-0358100.0162033271230091,398*
8537-036799.90212273119610089,944*
8436-036899.601720312612300087,364*
8336-037798.900312273119610083,413*
8235-037896.800161931271230079,240*
8135-038791.900312263120710073,836*
8034-038883.600161930271330068,477*
7934-039771.60031126322071061,822*
7833-039856.2016183128133054,797*
7733-040740.2002112633206148,724*
7632-040826.9001620332811142,540*
7532-041715.900313293418336,325*
7431-04188.50017233626630,932*
7331-04274.400041735331125,724*
7230-04282.0021131391721,270*
7130-04370.801625432517,029*
7029-04380.200319443413,832*
6929-04470.10214414310,662*
6828-04480.001938538,277*
6728-04570.000533616,463*
6627-0458Out0326714,909*
6527-0467Out0222763,642*
6426-0468Out0117822,573*
6326-0477Out0113861,952*
6225-0478Out19901,358*
6125-0487Out892932*
6024-0488Out496663*
5923-0489Out397494*
5824-0506Out397306*
5722-0499Out199196*
5622-0508Out199125*
4-55Out100371*
Total:84.5%18141210987654321,939,552

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 7 Canadiens 1 -0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Maple Leafs+0.7+0.7*-0.0-0.7-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
117-164100
11653-02161000
11552-0217100
11451-02181000
11351-0227991
11250-02281000
11150-0237991
11049-0238991
10949-0247982
10848-02489820
10748-02579730
10647-02589550
10547-02679370
10446-0268891000
10346-0277851410
10245-0278811810
10145-0287742330
10044-028866294000
9944-029758347100
9843-0298483912200
9743-0307374217400
9642-03082641247100
9542-0317183730123000
9441-03181130341961000
9341-03275223326113000
9240-032821328301861000
9140-033716192926134100
9039-03380211232922103000
8939-034701414252718820000
8838-034800161626261662000
8738-0357002717272515610000
8637-035800281826241451000
8537-03670002818262414510000
8436-036800002818262515610000
8336-0377000271726251562000
8235-037800027162525166200000
8135-0387000261525261772000
8034-0388000161524261872000
7934-039700015142426188200
7833-039800015142426188200
7733-040700016152526187200
7632-040800027162626166100
7532-0417002818282514410
7431-04180013102129231030
7331-0427000141426291961
7230-04280016183028132
7130-0437003112533226
7029-043801618343110
6929-0447000312293818
6828-0448016244127
6728-0457004174237
6627-045801113948
6527-0467173657
6426-04680042868
6326-0477032176
6225-047821781
6125-048711584
6024-048811090
5923-0489694
5824-0506595
5722-0499496
5622-0508298
5522-0517199
4-54100
Total:987766555444433333222211