How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rink Rats vs Gold Kings-3.2-3.1+0.3+3.6+3.5
-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.4+0.4
Thrashers vs Bruins-0.4-0.5*+0.1*+0.2+0.4
National vs Flyers+0.2*-0.1*+0.1*-0.2-0.3
Rebels vs Thunder+0.2*+0.1*+0.1*-0.4-0.3
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.2
Scouts vs North Stars+0.1*+0.1*+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Knucklers vs Silverbacks+0.1*+0.0*+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Titans vs Red Wings-0.1*-0.3*-0.1*+0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gold Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffs123456789101112Count
111-152In1001,147*
11045-0186In1000535*
10944-0187In991787*
10844-0196In9821,289*
10743-0197In9731,864*
10643-0206In9732,714*
10542-0207In95403,814*
10442-0216In94605,577*
10341-0217In91807,611*
10241-0226In8812010,221*
10140-0227In84151013,520*
10040-0236In78202017,809*
9939-0237In72263023,022*
9839-0246In643140029,150*
9738-0247In563671036,029*
9638-0256In4740111044,223*
9537-0257In38431620053,212*
9437-0266In29442240062,713*
9336-0267In214228810072,941*
9236-0276In1437331320083,517*
9135-0277In9303619500094,296*
9035-0286In52337269100103,676*
8934-0287100.0%3163331143000113,917*
8834-0296100.0192734217100121,626*
8733-0297100.00519332812200128,339*
8633-030699.902122833196100133,215*
8532-030799.801621332611200136,306*
8432-031699.300313293218510137,148*
8331-031798.0001721332510200136,206*
8231-032694.9003142931175100131,936*
8130-032788.900182233259200126,494*
8030-033679.6000415303116400119,390*
7929-033766.50018233424810110,815*
7829-034651.800041631311430101,475*
7728-034737.000292634226190,984*
7628-035624.2001519343011179,957*
7527-035714.300212303517369,919*
7427-03667.9017243825559,847*
7326-03673.9004173733950,216*
7226-03761.90021133391441,645*
7125-03770.801727442133,796*
7025-03860.300421462927,253*
6924-03870.10215453821,201*
6824-03960.00111424616,549*
6723-0397Out17385412,511*
6623-0406Out0433639,473*
6522-0407Out0326717,050*
6422-0416Out0121775,012*
6321-0417Out0117823,621*
6221-0426Out013872,521*
6120-0427Out010901,728*
6020-0436Out8921,215*
5920-0445Out0396710*
5819-0446Out397508*
5718-0447Out397321*
5618-0456Out298199*
5518-0465Out298132*
5417-0466Out39775*
14-53Out100367*
Total:77.8%8101011111010987532,703,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Rink Rats vs Gold Kings+0.6+0.6-0.0-0.7-0.7

What If

Last 2 teams in each conference will be in a lottery for 1st overall pick.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
117-152100
11648-0156955
11548-0165973
11447-01668713
11346-01678911
11247-018482180
11146-01858218
11045-018678220
10944-0187732610
10844-019667311
10743-019759382
10643-0206544240
10542-0207464860
10442-0216395290
10341-021732541310
10241-022625551720
10140-0227185324400
10040-02361348317100
9939-0237943351220
9839-02465343918400
9738-024732539247100
9638-0256217353012300
9537-025711029341961000
9437-026605213326113000
9336-026703132830186100
9236-0276017203025124100
9135-0277003122529208200
9035-02860161728271551000
8934-02870029212823124100
8834-029600141224282092000
8733-0297000151526271872000
8633-0306000271727261561000
8532-0307000281927241341000
8432-0316000310212822113100
8331-031700141223282193000
8231-03260015142427198200
8130-032700161626261771000
8030-033600027182725155100
7929-03370029202824124100
7829-034600131123292110200
7728-034700015142528187100
7628-03560017182926144100
7527-03570031022302310200
7427-03660014142730185100
7326-03670002820312611200
7226-037600313283219500
7125-037700172033271020
7025-03860031330331730
6924-0387001824352571
6824-0396014163532121
6723-039702113036182
6623-04060162340255
6522-0407041738338
6422-041600211354111
6321-0417018314517
6221-0426004235122
6120-042702194930
6020-04361134640
5920-0445184546
5819-0446063955
5718-0447023265
5618-045623167
5518-046522573
5417-046632077
5316-0467892
5216-0476496
5115-0477100
5017-05024060
14-49100
Total:134556666666665554432110