SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

MyNiggaDougWilliams Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Ethan 92.66-85.92, playoff odds up 14 to 23.3%

1-2 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ethan 85.92 Ryan 92.66	+6.6		+0.7
Sonny 147.54 Greg 108.76	-0.4
Dave 141.12 Matt 86.6	-0.1		-0.1
Aaron 70.4 Taylor 61.48			+0.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/2	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Aaron vs Ryan	-5.0+12.1		-0.4+0.9
Josh vs Taylor	-0.5+1.1
Matt vs Craig	+0.2-0.2
Sonny vs Ethan	-0.1+0.2		+0.0-0.1
Dave vs Greg	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Ryan finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

11		10	-	0	In		97	3											3,129
10		9	-	1	In		65	32	3	0									21,512
9		8	-	2	In		18	45	30	7	0	0							131,859
8		7	-	3	99.8	%	1	10	29	36	20	4	0	0					469,059
7		6	-	4	77.3		0	0	2	12	29	34	19	4	0	0			1,088,844
6		5	-	5	14.9				0	0	2	13	31	34	17	3	0	0	1,707,968
5		4	-	6	0.2						0	0	3	17	36	32	11	1	1,836,458
4		3	-	7	Out								0	1	8	33	44	14	1,333,888
3		2	-	8	Out									0	0	6	42	52	627,942
2		1	-	9	Out										0	0	13	87	171,784
1		0	-	10	Out												0	100	22,382

Total:					23.3	%	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	13	14	15	14	9	7,414,825

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs