SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Frank's Red Hot Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Taylor 70.4-61.48, playoff odds up 5.6 to 96.8%

3-0 1.000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Aaron 70.4 Taylor 61.48	+2.9		+0.3
Sonny 147.54 Greg 108.76	-0.3
Ethan 85.92 Ryan 92.66	+0.3
Dave 141.12 Matt 86.6	-0.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/2	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Aaron vs Ryan	+1.5-3.6		+0.2-0.6
Josh vs Taylor	-0.1+0.2		-0.0+0.1
Sonny vs Ethan	+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Aaron finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

13		10	-	0	In		100												113,676
12		9	-	1	In		100	0											589,805
11		8	-	2	In		94	6	0										1,386,972
10		7	-	3	In		68	29	3	0	0								1,917,042
9		6	-	4	In		22	45	27	6	0	0							1,729,291
8		5	-	5	99.8	%	1	12	32	35	17	3	0	0					1,065,351
7		4	-	6	80.3		0	0	2	13	31	33	16	3	0	0			451,953
6		3	-	7	14.0				0	0	2	12	31	34	17	4	0	0	131,413
5		2	-	8	0.1							0	2	14	36	35	12	1	24,845
4		1	-	9	Out									0	5	32	52	10	2,798
3		0	-	10	Out											2	54	44	1,679

Total:					96.8	%	50	21	12	7	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	7,414,825

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs