Toronto Marlies Playoff Chances 2021-2022 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 95%
45 points   21 12-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
106-117In99.4%100155*
105306-0In91.196445*
104296-1In93.9981198*
103286-2In87.9937206*
102287-1In81.7928339*
101277-2In73.690010656*
100278-1In68.985151,087*
99268-2In56.4790201,874*
98269-1In45.0730273,028*
97259-2In35.1691305,010*
962510-1In22.86013906,942*
952410-2In15.452246011,121*
942411-1In8.7443530014,709*
932311-2In4.5364600121,442*
922312-1In2.0285660127,580*
912212-2In0.72067212036,603*
902213-1In0.21267524043,784*
892113-2In0.17674470055,589*
882114-1In0.046709120062,615*
872014-2InNo246115170173,872*
862015-1InNo1348222311079,014*
851915-2InNo02342930330088,489*
841916-1InNo01203433750088,383*
831816-2100.0%No009333215900093,789*
821817-1100.0No00328262515210089,363*
811717-2100.0No0120163520520048,173
1818-099.9No0121163519520040,385*
801718-199.8No0013839211350080,373*
791618-299.4No0073371824911075,347*
781619-198.3No0412911361352064,267*
771519-295.8No202054215134056,707*
761520-191.1No1011140122580045,202*
751420-283.8No06033837152037,697*
741421-173.9No030243442050028,725*
731321-262.5No0101614425112022,758*
721322-144.3No0703724248116,151*
711222-231.2No03028183117312,039*
701223-121.2No202012332778,125*
691123-213.4No11373037135,750*
681124-18.8No0832343223,544*
671024-24.2No0411647312,340*
661025-12.0No211040471,379*
65925-20.9No1073755877*
64926-10.5No033165439*
63826-20.8No132176259*
62827-1OutNo31681129*
61727-2OutNo99156*
60728-1OutNo10039*
59628-2OutNo109021*
45-58OutNo100121*
Total:95.0%0.9%5225141313793521101,356,696

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Manitoba 2 Texas 1 (so)*+0.0
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
107-117100
106305-1964
105306-09144
104296-194411
103286-28857
102287-182118
101277-27416010
100278-16916150
99268-25623020
98269-145280261
97259-2353310291
962510-12337103630
952410-21537204060
942411-193521431000
932311-2431314416010
922312-12263240260010
912212-211933343810200
902213-101224294620400
892113-207252352417100
882114-1041513567293000
872014-22046551051250010
862015-11032461210121110100
851915-200213312171118302000
841916-100102010248256141000
831816-2000096275281226400000
821817-100332522518678201000
811717-2011190162113614502100
801718-1000130818214171214200
791618-20007031225216204541010
781619-100316230112511585020
771519-220217052219311121400
761520-110111011525111214810
751420-200608260726111420
741421-10030321032321187100
731321-200101150116281914410
721322-10070730142214510
711222-200303258222312300
701223-1201194152723920
691123-210131822311851
681124-1008031529281320
671024-2041725352251
661025-1203133134143
65925-21182339235
64926-101316383210
63826-2128324413
62827-114254031
61727-2494146
60728-135146
59628-23367
58629-14060
45-57100
Total:140171841049672454123221110000