Texas Stars Playoff Chances 2021-2022

Lost to Manitoba 1-2 (so), playoff odds up 0.3 to 19.7%
30 points   12 16-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba 2 Texas 1 (so)+0.7
*No
+0.1
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
106380-0In33.3%6535324
93316-1InNo2040405*
92306-2InNo25754*
91296-3InNo883342812*
90297-2InNo457221723*
89298-1InNo229254463*
88288-2InNo3351647113*
87289-1InNo2316600235*
86279-2InNo115117311391*
852710-1InNo01177921745*
842610-2InNo09581231,377*
832611-1InNo5284362,433*
822511-2InNo3182311004,185*
812512-1InNo1078217006,549*
802412-2100.0%No107022611010,855*
792413-1100.0No006013512016,252*
782313-299.8No004814425024,507*
772314-199.5No036051210134,532*
762214-298.6No0250532181048,812*
752215-196.3No0150512284065,077*
742115-292.2No080441388086,145*
732116-184.8No4034146141109,152*
722016-270.2No1020148273136,913*
712017-154.3No010043397162,200*
701917-239.8No0503447130192,910*
691918-127.2No0202551210217,077*
681818-217.2No0101651320243,315*
671819-110.0No0001047430257,226*
661719-25.5No05405400273,316*
651720-12.8No03326410274,488*
641620-21.3No01237230274,641*
631621-10.6No01167760259,660*
621521-20.2No01178110246,091*
611522-10.1No0675181218,088*
601422-20.0No0469262196,369*
591423-10.0No0259354163,369*
581323-2OutNo148447138,067*
571324-10.0No00365112109,467*
561224-20.0No0026551987,243*
551225-1OutNo017552864,297*
541125-2OutNo010513847,711*
531126-1OutNo010513933,303*
521026-2OutNo5455023,284*
511027-1OutNo3366115,174*
50927-2OutNo229709,905*
49928-1OutNo021795,912*
48828-2OutNo016843,683*
47829-1OutNo010902,030*
46729-2OutNo7931,099*
45730-1OutNo397582*
44630-2OutNo298296*
43631-1OutNo199131*
42531-2OutNo19976*
30-41OutNo100374*
Total:19.7%0.0%0000020601123431134,070,088

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Manitoba 2 Texas 1 (so)-0.1
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
106380-0333235
93316-1204040
92306-22575
91296-388258428
90297-24572217
89298-1225324244
88288-21233214247
87289-1185143600
86279-211149272111
852710-107343781101
842610-204522756103
832611-1231271122060
822511-20201612121110000
812512-1010047311117100
802412-201003139112421010
792413-10001842013051020
782313-200093901321211500
772314-104320030211110010
762214-20123023301217110
752215-100150153502244300
742115-20080935012910710
732116-104043001281813200
722016-2010119012127199100
712017-100100013302218510
701917-20050728192612300
691918-10020322142922710
681818-20010115827301530
671819-1000094203324710
661719-200521231331520
651720-100316233825400
641620-200103153635900
631621-100101830431710
621521-2000421452630
611522-1000213423670
601422-2000173643131
591423-100032647212
581323-20011846315
571324-10011140409
561224-20006324715
551225-103235124
541125-2001155034
531126-11125037
521026-2074548
511027-1043759
50927-2022969
49928-1012278
48828-2001684
47829-101090
46729-20793
45730-1397
44630-2298
43631-1199
42531-2199
30-41100
Total:0000000001200240048581115171483