Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Lost to Baltimore 2-6, average seed down 0.9 to 11.4
3-6   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boston 6 Minnesota 5 Out
+0.1
Kansas City 4 Texas 12 Out
+0.1
Chicago 1 Tampa Bay 4 +0.9
New York 14 Oakland 7 +0.2
Los Angeles 0 Cleveland 1 -0.1
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 2 Baltimore 6 -1.3
Boston 6 Kansas City 4 +0.2
Oakland 4 Texas 11 +0.1
Toronto 1 New York 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 4/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Tampa Bay-0.6+0.6
Kansas City vs Minnesota-0.3+0.3
New York vs Chicago+0.3-0.3
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.1-0.1
Texas vs Seattle+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
41-0Out122525375,178,164
30-1Out1005,173,328
Total:Out613136910,351,492
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs