Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Los Angeles 5-9, playoff odds down 2.8 to 0%
4-5   .444

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles 0 Cleveland 1 +2.1
-0.1
Baltimore 2 Seattle 5 +2.0
+1.3
Kansas City 4 Texas 12 -1.0
-0.1
Boston 6 Minnesota 5 -0.1
+0.1
Toronto 2 Detroit 3 +0.1
-0.2
Chicago 1 Tampa Bay 4 -0.0
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland 4 Texas 11 Out
-0.1
Seattle 5 Los Angeles 9 Out
-1.1
Toronto 1 New York 7 -0.3
+0.1
Boston 6 Kansas City 4 -0.1
+0.1
Minnesota 3 Detroit 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 4/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texas vs Seattle-0.9+2.4
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.2+0.6
New York vs Chicago+0.0-0.4
Kansas City vs Minnesota-0.1+0.2
Detroit vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Toronto+0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
51-0Out30223015308,464,579
40-1Out71770622,589,897
Total:Out86891351431,054,476
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs