Cleveland Monsters Playoff Chances 2021-2022 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 17.7%

33 points 13 19-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Average seed
Manitoba 2 Texas 1 (so)	*-0.1

Monday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Kilpatrick		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

107		37	0		-	0	In		76.9	%	99		1														108
99		33	4		-	0	In		Yes		100																1
98		32	4		-	1	In		No		33		67														3	*
97		32	5		-	0	In		No		40		60														5	*
96		31	5		-	1	In		No		33	11	44		11												9
95		30	5		-	2	In		No		20	7	70		3												30	*
94		30	6		-	1	In		No		13	8	75	4													53	*
93		29	6		-	2	In		No		12	12	60	4	12	1											113	*
92		29	7		-	1	In		No		5	10	60	10	14		1										220	*
91		28	7		-	2	In		No		1	5	50	13	28	0	2										435	*
90		28	8		-	1	In		No		0	4	39	18	34	2	3										693	*
89		27	8		-	2	In		No		0	2	25	26	35	4	7	0	0								1,370	*
88		27	9		-	1	In		No			1	13	23	39	10	13	0	1								2,072	*
87		26	9		-	2	100.0	%	No			1	5	22	34	16	20	1	2			0					3,582	*
86		26	10		-	1	99.8		No			0	1	15	22	25	27	4	5	0		0					5,312	*
85		25	10		-	2	99.3		No			0	0	9	12	28	30	9	10	0		1					8,002	*
84		25	11		-	1	98.2		No				0	4	4	26	26	19	17	1		2	0				11,218	*
83		24	11		-	2	95.8		No				0	2	1	20	17	28	23	4		4	0				16,381	*
82		24	12		-	1	90.4		No					1	0	12	8	33	25	12		9	0				21,554	*
81		23	12		-	2	82.2		No					0	0	6	3	29	21	23		16	1	0			29,347	*
80		23	13		-	1	70.7		No					0		3	1	22	13	33		25	4	0			36,540	*
79		22	13		-	2	58.0		No					0	0	1	0	14	6	37		33	9	0	0		46,440	*
78		22	14		-	1	44.2		No					0		0	0	8	2	34		36	17	2	0		53,723	*
77		21	14		-	2	31.9		No							0		4	1	27		34	28	6	1		65,097	*
76		21	15		-	1	22.0		No							0		2	0	20		27	36	13	2		71,908	*
75		20	15		-	2	17.7		No							0		1	0	16		22	38	19	3		81,573	*
74		20	16		-	1	10.7		No							0		0	0	10		14	38	30	8		84,466	*
73		19	16		-	2	6.3		No									0	0	6		8	32	39	15		91,309	*
72		19	17		-	1	3.6		No									0		4		4	24	44	24		89,333	*
71		18	17		-	2	1.8		No									0		2		2	16	44	36		49,370
		19	18		-	0	1.9		No									0		2		2	16	44	36		41,305	*
70		18	18		-	1	0.9		No									0		1		1	10	41	48		84,355	*
69		17	18		-	2	0.5		No									0		0		0	5	34	59		81,830	*
68		17	19		-	1	0.2		No											0		0	3	27	70		71,647	*
67		16	19		-	2	0.1		No											0		0	1	20	78		64,713	*
66		16	20		-	1	0.0		No									0		0		0	1	15	85		53,971	*
65		15	20		-	2	0.0		No											0		0	0	10	90		46,733	*
64		15	21		-	1	Out		No														0	7	93		36,810	*
63		14	21		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96		29,783	*
62		14	22		-	1	Out		No														0	3	97		22,268	*
61		13	22		-	2	Out		No														0	1	99		16,967	*
60		13	23		-	1	Out		No															1	99		11,740	*
59		12	23		-	2	Out		No															0	100		8,679	*
58		12	24		-	1	Out		No															0	100		5,583	*
57		11	24		-	2	Out		No															0	100		3,987	*
56		11	25		-	1	Out		No															0	100		2,336	*
55		10	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100		1,531	*
53	-54						Out		No																100		1,472	*
52		9	27		-	1	Out		No															0	100		283	*
33	-51						Out		No																100		436	*

Total:							17.7	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	9		10	15	21	36		1,356,696

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Manitoba 2 Texas 1 (so)	+0.1

Monday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

107		37	0		-	0	77	22			1
99		33	4		-	0	100
98		32	4		-	1		33			67
97		32	5		-	0		40			40	20
96		31	5		-	1		33	11		22	22			11
95		30	5		-	2		20		7	20	50			3
94		30	6		-	1		13	2	6	28	47	4
93		29	6		-	2		12		12	13	47	4		11	1	1
92		29	7		-	1		5	2	9	7	53	6	3	9	5			1
91		28	7		-	2		1	1	4	1	49	8	6	14	14	0		1	0
90		28	8		-	1		0	0	3	1	38	11	8	11	23	2	0	3	0
89		27	8		-	2		0	0	2	0	25	10	16	9	26	4	0	6	2	0		0
88		27	9		-	1				1	0	13	7	16	7	32	9	1	8	5	0		1
87		26	9		-	2			0	1		5	4	18	3	30	13	3	10	10	1		2	0						0
86		26	10		-	1				0		1	2	14	1	21	19	7	9	18	4	0	4	1	0					0
85		25	10		-	2				0		0	1	9	0	12	17	11	9	20	9	0	8	2	0					1
84		25	11		-	1						0	0	4	0	4	12	15	5	21	17	2	11	5	1					2	0
83		24	11		-	2						0	0	2	0	1	6	14	2	16	23	5	12	10	4	0				4	0
82		24	12		-	1							0	1		0	2	10	0	8	22	10	10	15	11	0				9	0	0
81		23	12		-	2								0		0	1	6	0	3	15	14	5	16	21	2				16	2	0
80		23	13		-	1								0			0	3		1	7	14	2	11	28	6				25	4	0
79		22	13		-	2								0		0	0	1		0	3	11	0	6	26	12				31	10	1	0	0
78		22	14		-	1								0				0		0	1	7	0	2	17	17				31	20	4	0	0	0
77		21	14		-	2												0			0	4	0	1	9	18				25	28	12	2	0	0
76		21	15		-	1												0			0	2		0	4	16				17	31	21	7	1	0	0
75		20	15		-	2												0			0	1		0	3	14				12	29	27	12	3	0	0
74		20	16		-	1												0			0	0		0	1	9				5	21	31	22	9	1	0	0
73		19	16		-	2																0		0	0	6				2	11	27	30	18	5	0	0
72		19	17		-	1																0			0	3				1	5	18	31	28	12	2	0
71		18	17		-	2																0			0	2				0	2	9	25	34	22	6	1
70		18	18		-	1																0			0	1				0	0	4	16	33	32	13	2
69		17	18		-	2																0				0				0	0	1	8	25	38	22	4
68		17	19		-	1																			0	0					0	0	3	17	37	33	10
67		16	19		-	2																				0					0	0	1	9	31	41	17
66		16	20		-	1																0				0						0	1	6	28	45	20
65		15	20		-	2																				0						0	0	3	20	47	31
64		15	21		-	1																											0	1	12	44	42
63		14	21		-	2																												0	7	40	53
62		14	22		-	1																												0	4	32	64
61		13	22		-	2																												0	2	26	72
60		13	23		-	1																													1	19	80
59		12	23		-	2																													0	13	87
58		12	24		-	1																													0	8	92
57		11	24		-	2																													0	6	94
56		11	25		-	1																													0	8	92
55		10	25		-	2																														4	96
54		10	26		-	1																														2	98
53		9	26		-	2																														1	99
52		9	27		-	1																														1	99
33	-51																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	1	1	4	5				7	9	9	10	11	13	13	10