| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
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Young Guns Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Beat Grey Hawks 9-1, playoff odds up 2.1 to 97.9%
21 points 9-0-3
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +2.3 | +2.3 | No | +0.5 | ||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Young Guns vs Lucas | +1.1+0.3-1.2 | +1.1+0.3-1.2 | +0.5+0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Young Guns finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 48 | -51 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 1,988 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 3,623 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 7,145 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 18,001 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 30,000 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 29,629 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 30,555 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 67,752 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,973 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,776 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 64,560 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,075 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 68 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 133,157 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 45,358 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 52 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,586 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 107,995 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 53 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,408 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 34 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,073 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 35 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 72,925 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 19 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 165,305 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 18 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 139,156 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 19 | 43 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 25,744 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 8 | 30 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 229,571 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,815 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,399 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 140,019 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 25,789 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 200,293 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 72,867 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 123,462 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 107,791 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,257 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 136,479 | * | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,288 | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 98.8 | 98.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,920 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 98.8 | 98.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 65,009 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 98.8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,288 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 93.1 | 93.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 67,784 | * | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 93.3 | 93.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,817 | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 76.2 | 76.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,410 | * | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 76.9 | 76.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,599 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 48.8 | 48.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,436 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 9,750 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 8,286 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,173 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,554 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 8 | 28 | 33 | 23 | 6 | 1 | No | 993 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 15 | 4 | 0 | No | 437 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 3 | 12 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 3 | No | 73 | |||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 12 | 29 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | % | 446 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 97.9 | % | 97.9 | % | 24 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,080,789 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
