"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 -0.0
Hooligans 7 Blues 0 -0.0
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Young Guns vs Lucas+0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.3-0.7
O'Neills vs Whalers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Nordiques vs Damaged Goods-0.0+0.0+0.1
Hooligans vs High Sticks-0.0+0.0+0.1
Hardy vs Grey Hawks-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Young Guns finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-TplayoffsPromoted123456789101112131415161718RelegatedCount
50-51InYes100No18,594*
4914-1-0InYes991No35,253
13-0-2InYes1000No12,617
4813-1-1InYes9820No72,449
12-0-3InYes991No7,882
4713-2-0InYes9370No101,457
12-1-2InYes9550No71,249*
4612-2-1InYes851500No188,911
11-1-3InYes88120No40,096*
4512-3-0InYes692920No172,873
11-2-2InYes732620No162,628
10-1-4InYes76231No15,627*
4411-3-1InYes5141700No294,925
10-2-3InYes5539600No88,821*
4310-3-2InYes33481720No229,179
11-4-0InYes304919200No195,390
9-2-4InYes36481510No30,869*
4210-4-1InYes154433810No303,713
9-3-3InYes174531700No107,682
8-2-5InYes19462960No7,904*
419-4-2InYes630421930No213,086
10-5-0InYes529422030No157,489
8-3-4InYes733411720No35,636*
409-5-1InYes11438351010No219,436
8-4-3InYes21539341010No88,453
7-3-5InYes217403281No8,100*
398-5-2InYes0526422340No137,528
9-6-0InYes0524422440No92,389
7-4-4InYes0627422230No26,408*
388-6-1InYes01123639120No114,519
7-5-3InYes01123738110No50,825
6-4-5InYes02143837100No4,942*
377-6-2InYes00424462510No63,027
8-7-0InYes00423462610No40,179
6-5-4InYes0425452410No12,855*
367-7-1InYes0111414350No44,332
6-6-3InYes0111414240No21,828*
356-7-2InYes042855121No25,324*
7-8-0100.0%100.0%0427551310No13,131
346-8-1100.0100.00114572520No12,420
5-7-3100.0100.00115562520No6,193*
335-8-299.599.506463980No9,361*
325-9-197.597.50230471930No3,711*
314-9-292.492.4016453170No1,609*
304-10-180.580.5532441810No594*
293-10-264.164.112340288No198*
283-11-134.734.752940241No75*
272-11-223.123.12338318No13*
261-11-3OutNo3367No3*
210-15-0OutNo162443252No492
Total:100.0%100.0%3325181274100000000No3,562,275

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs