Whalers Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Lost to Nordiques 3-6, playoff odds down 7.5 to 11.4%
9 points 4-7-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | -6.6 | -6.6 | +1.5 | -0.7 | ||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.3 | |||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.1 | |||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +0.1 | |||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | ||||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||
| The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| O'Neills vs Whalers | -4.6-0.7+4.8 | -4.6-0.7+4.8 | +1.6-0.3-1.6 | -0.6-0.0+0.6 | ||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.6*+0.1-0.6 | +0.6*+0.1-0.6 | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.6*-0.1-0.5 | +0.6*-0.1-0.5 | ||||||
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Young Guns vs Lucas | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.4*+0.0+0.4 | |||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Whalers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 39 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 57 | 35 | 8 | 0 | No | 437 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 36 | 46 | 12 | 6 | No | 67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 16 | 38 | 32 | 11 | 2 | No | 443 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 4 | 27 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,028 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | No | 3,594 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 7,329 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 18,162 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.1 | 99.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 30,014 | * | |||||||||||||
| 31 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 94.9 | 94.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,410 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 94.9 | 94.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,650 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 81.3 | 81.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,916 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 80.4 | 80.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | No | 19,909 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 56.1 | 56.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 68,922 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 56.1 | 56.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 74,258 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,317 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 28.0 | 28.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 45,602 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 124,408 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 108,133 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,725 | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,301 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 72,863 | * | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,901 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,603 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,493 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 229,180 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 85,705 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 164,784 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 138,975 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | No | 25,625 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 199,607 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 73,028 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 123,477 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 109,011 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 17,745 | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 133,956 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 45,434 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 7.7 | 68,651 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 7.7 | 74,138 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 19.2 | 67,060 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 19.8 | 20,267 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 6 | 37.4 | 29,615 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 6 | 37.8 | 30,505 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 57.7 | 30,297 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 49 | 27 | 75.6 | 17,754 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 87.9 | 7,103 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | 95.1 | 3,486 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | 98.3 | 964 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.5 | 421 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 13 | 87 | Yes | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | Yes | 445 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 11.4 | % | 11.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3.2 | % | 3,080,789 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
