| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
| Floor Hockey | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| TCSSC Wed Floor | |
| Bar Sports | |
| Baseball | |
| Basketball | |
| Bocce | |
| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
| Ultimate Frisbee | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Whalers Playoff Chances 2011-2012
Lost to Nordiques 3-6, playoff odds down 4.1 to 3.4%
9 points 4-7-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | -2.2 | -2.2 | +0.0 | -0.3 | ||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.5 | +0.5 | ||||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.0 | |||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.0 | |||||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | +0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| O'Neills vs Whalers | -1.0+0.7+3.4 | -1.0+0.7+3.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.6 | ||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.4-0.1-0.6 | +0.4-0.1-0.6 | ||||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.4+0.2-0.2 | +0.4+0.2-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.1*-0.0-0.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Whalers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 39 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 493 | ||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 29 | 29 | 43 | No | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 19 | 38 | 34 | 9 | No | 32 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 3 | 26 | 52 | 18 | 1 | No | 106 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 44 | 42 | 5 | No | 510 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.3 | % | 99.3 | % | 0 | 4 | 27 | 53 | 15 | 1 | No | 1,344 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.8 | 96.8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 4,185 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 41 | 10 | 0 | No | 8,876 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 76.6 | 76.6 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 47 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 21,220 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 57.9 | 57.9 | 0 | 14 | 44 | 35 | 6 | 0 | No | 37,554 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 36.6 | 36.6 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 36,403 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 36.6 | 36.6 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 38,464 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,463 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 0 | No | 28,626 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 90,821 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 78,080 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 13,762 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 169,845 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | No | 62,875 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 162,826 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 135,882 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 25,271 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 256,801 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 96,770 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 209,872 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 174,972 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 33 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 32,620 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 0 | No | 284,605 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 25 | 4 | 0 | No | 103,751 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 193,924 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 10 | 1 | No | 170,215 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 27,483 | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 229,732 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 78,201 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 0 | No | 128,011 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | No | 121,055 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | No | 16,689 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 28 | 46 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 133,637 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 47 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 39,656 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 62,486 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 64,257 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 33 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 0.2 | 66,956 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 61 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 22,635 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 62 | 19 | 1 | 1.1 | 18,503 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 3.5 | 17,030 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 41 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 9.6 | 8,673 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 25 | 52 | 22 | 1 | 22.8 | 2,375 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 12 | 48 | 37 | 2 | 39.8 | 1,046 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 2 | 26 | 64 | 8 | 72.1 | 140 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 59 | 32 | 91.4 | 535 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.4 | % | 3.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 3,562,275 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
