Surge Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50Lost to Erie County Fusion 2-16, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.1% 2 points 1-11-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | +8.6 | | -0.4 | | Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | | | | | -2.3 | | +0.1 | | Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Surge vs Blues | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | -10.6+0.7+10.5 | | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | | Purple Cobras vs Misfits | | | | | +2.6*+0.0-2.6 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Young Guns vs Lucas | | | | | -1.8*-0.1+1.8 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | | | | | -1.2*+0.2+1.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | | | | | -1.1*+0.1+1.1 | | | | O'Neills vs Whalers | | | | | -0.4*+0.1+0.4 | | | | Hardy vs Grey Hawks | | | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Surge finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 99.8 | % | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 450 | | 31 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.6 | | 98.6 | | | | | 1 | 6 | 37 | 38 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 71 | | 30 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 88.3 | | 88.3 | | | | | 1 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 400 | * | 29 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 63.2 | | 63.2 | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 1,057 | * | 28 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 33.3 | | 33.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,563 | * | 27 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 12.1 | | 12.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,076 | * | 26 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2.1 | | 2.1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,879 | | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2.2 | | 2.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,108 | * | 25 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 30,169 | * | 24 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 29,653 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 30,496 | * | 23 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 66,513 | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 20,231 | * | 22 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 68,736 | | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 65,113 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 8,902 | * | 21 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | | 132,637 | | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | | 45,297 | * | 20 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 7.1 | | 124,036 | | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 7.1 | | 107,982 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 7.4 | | 18,253 | * | 19 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 1 | 19.3 | | 200,315 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 1 | 19.5 | | 73,741 | * | 18 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 33 | 5 | 37.7 | | 164,866 | | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 33 | 5 | 37.4 | | 138,905 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 38.8 | | 25,731 | * | 17 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 46 | 12 | 58.2 | | 229,017 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 47 | 12 | 59.0 | | 85,941 | * | 16 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 23 | 76.1 | | 165,195 | | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 75.8 | | 139,405 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 24 | 76.7 | | 25,467 | * | 15 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 87.9 | | 200,833 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 88.2 | | 73,467 | * | 14 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 94.9 | | 123,829 | | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 94.8 | | 107,508 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 43 | 52 | 95.0 | | 18,152 | * | 13 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 98.2 | | 133,967 | | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 98.1 | | 45,814 | * | 12 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.4 | | 68,867 | | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.3 | | 64,628 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.4 | | 9,034 | * | 11 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 86 | 99.9 | | 66,415 | | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 86 | 99.8 | | 19,947 | * | 10 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 29,383 | | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | | 30,477 | * | 9 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 30,512 | * | 8 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 17,883 | * | 7 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,174 | * | 6 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,663 | * | 2 | -5 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,031 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 26 | 53.1 | % | 3,080,789 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |