Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Young Guns219-0-35997.9%+2.197.9%+2.1242016131074211000000003.3+0.310.0%-0.01Young Guns
Erie County Fusion209-1-27296.4+2.896.4+2.81717161412106421000000003.9+0.330.0-0.03Erie County Fusion
Hardy188-2-22789.4-3.589.4-3.5691213151512853210000005.3-0.960.0-0.06Hardy
High Sticks147-5-0357.0+10.257.0+10.2123571014161411853210008.1+0.710.1-0.48High Sticks
Blue Light Special126-6-0-635.1-12.335.1-12.300124691314141297431009.6-0.810.5-0.011Blue Light Special
Misfits115-6-1-925.5+6.325.5+6.30001247101314131196421010.3+0.861.0-2.19Misfits
Purple Cobras31-10-1-410.3-0.60.3-0.6000000001124691523231715.7-0.3039.8+3.015Purple Cobras
Surge21-11-0-1020.1-0.30.1-0.300000000112471219272616.2-0.2453.1+4.017Surge
Lucas00-12-0-590.0-0.10.0-0.100000000123713254917.0-0.2073.9+4.618Lucas

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy+0.2
+0.2
High Sticks+0.6
+0.6
Blue Light Special-10.6
-10.6
+0.3
-0.8
Misfits+7.8
+7.8
-1.5
+0.8
Purple Cobras+0.2
Surge+0.3
Lucas+0.2
Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.2
-0.2
Erie County Fusion-0.2
-0.2
Hardy-0.3
-0.3
High Sticks+9.9
+9.9
-0.3
+0.8
Blue Light Special-1.0
-1.0
Misfits-0.7
-0.7
Purple Cobras-0.6
Surge-0.8
Lucas-0.6
Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.3
-0.3
Erie County Fusion-0.3
-0.3
Hardy-0.4
-0.4
High Sticks-1.3
-1.3
-0.1
Blue Light Special-1.3
-1.3
Misfits-0.8
-0.8
-0.3
Purple Cobras-0.6
-0.6
+8.4
-0.5
Surge-2.3
+0.1
Lucas-1.9
+0.1
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns+2.3
+2.3
No
+0.5
Erie County Fusion+0.3
+0.3
Hardy+0.3
+0.3
High Sticks+0.8
+0.8
Blue Light Special+0.8
+0.8
Misfits+0.5
+0.5
+0.1
Purple Cobras-0.2
Surge-0.3
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.1
Erie County Fusion+2.9
+2.9
No
+0.6
Hardy-0.1
High Sticks-0.4
-0.4
Blue Light Special-0.3
-0.3
Misfits-0.3
-0.3
-0.4
Purple Cobras-2.5
+0.1
Surge-0.3
-0.3
+8.6
-0.4
Lucas-1.9
+0.1
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy-3.3
-3.3
-0.7
High Sticks+0.2
+0.2
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.1
Erie County Fusion-0.1
Hardy+0.2
+0.2
High Sticks+0.5
+0.5
Blue Light Special+0.6
+0.6
Misfits+0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Purple Cobras-0.3
Surge-0.3
Lucas-0.3
The Brothers 7 Lucas 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
High Sticks-0.2
-0.2
Blue Light Special-0.2
-0.2
Purple Cobras-0.7
Lucas+9.7
-0.4
Hooligans 7 Blues 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.1
Erie County Fusion-0.1
Hardy-0.1
Purple Cobras-0.7
+0.1
Surge-0.9
Lucas-0.8
Week of 12/4
Hooligans vs High SticksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy89.9*89.388.9
89.9*89.388.9
High Sticks47.0*56.867.0
47.0*56.867.0
8.88.17.4
Blue Light Special36.1*35.034.0
36.1*35.034.0
Misfits26.5*25.424.5
26.5*25.424.5
Blue Light Special vs Shots on YouHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blue Light Special46.133.924.3
46.133.924.3
0.20.40.8
8.89.610.3
Purple Cobras vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy90.0*89.488.8
90.0*89.488.8
High Sticks58.257.355.7
58.257.355.7
8.0*8.18.1
Blue Light Special36.3*35.133.8
36.3*35.133.8
9.5*9.69.6
Misfits17.924.933.2
17.924.933.2
1.80.70.3
11.010.39.7
Purple Cobras0.60.20.1
0.60.20.1
31.0*39.848.6
15.215.716.1
Surge55.7*53.250.5
16.2*16.216.1
Lucas75.9*74.071.9
17.017.016.9
Hardy vs Grey HawksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy94.390.484.3
94.390.484.3
4.75.25.9
Erie County Fusion vs The BrothersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns3.43.33.2
Erie County Fusion98.396.894.4
98.396.894.4
No*No0.0
3.43.84.4
Purple Cobras38.9*40.040.6
15.6*15.715.7
Surge52.0*53.354.3
16.1*16.216.2
Lucas73.2*74.074.6
O'Neills vs WhalersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns3.43.33.2
Hardy89.7*89.489.1
89.7*89.489.1
High Sticks57.4*57.256.5
57.4*57.256.5
Blue Light Special35.6*35.134.5
35.6*35.134.5
Misfits25.9*25.525.1
25.9*25.525.1
10.3*10.310.4
Surge52.7*53.353.5
Young Guns vs LucasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns99.198.296.7
99.198.296.7
2.83.33.8
Erie County Fusion3.9*3.93.8
Purple Cobras37.5*39.742.1
15.6*15.715.7
Surge51.4*53.154.9
16.1*16.216.2
Lucas81.174.266.6
17.217.016.7
Surge vs BluesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
High Sticks57.4*57.056.6
57.4*57.056.6
Purple Cobras42.040.137.5
Surge0.20.10.0
0.20.10.0
42.553.963.6
15.716.216.6
Lucas74.9*74.072.8
Nordiques vs Damaged GoodsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns3.4*3.33.2
Erie County Fusion3.9*3.93.8
Purple Cobras39.040.040.5
15.6*15.715.7
Surge52.0*53.254.2
Lucas73.1*73.974.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.