Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Young Guns219-0-359100.0%+0.0100.0%+0.033251812741000000002.5+0.22No1.733Young Guns
Erie County Fusion209-1-27299.9+0.299.9+0.21317191917113100000003.6+0.11No-0.03.707Erie County Fusion
Hardy188-2-22798.8-0.798.8-0.7259142131124100000005.1-1.21No-0.06.656Hardy
High Sticks147-5-0364.9+16.764.9+16.700012723321810520000008.1+0.590.0%-0.08.552High Sticks
Blue Light Special126-6-0-626.0-22.726.0-22.700000181623221594100009.6-0.880.0-0.011.500Blue Light Special
Misfits115-6-1-917.8+8.517.8+8.50000015122123181152100010.1+1.070.0-0.19.474Misfits
Purple Cobras31-10-1-410.0-0.00.0-0.00000000013114530916.3-0.1539.1+1.915.267Purple Cobras
Surge21-11-0-1020.0-0.00.0-0.000000000012727451716.6-0.0662.6+1.817.241Surge
Lucas00-12-0-590.0-0.00.0-0.000000000016207317.7-0.1093.0+3.118.189Lucas

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
High Sticks+2.4
+2.4
Blue Light Special-12.1
-12.1
-0.6
Misfits+6.3
+6.3
-0.1
+0.6
Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
High Sticks+7.1
+7.1
+0.3
Blue Light Special-2.0
-2.0
-0.0
Misfits-0.7
-0.7
Purple Cobras-0.1
Surge-0.2
Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
High Sticks-1.3
-1.3
-0.0
Blue Light Special-1.2
-1.2
-0.0
Misfits-0.5
-0.5
Purple Cobras+4.6
-0.1
Surge-2.6
+0.0
Lucas-0.9
+0.0
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns+0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Erie County Fusion-0.0
Hardy-0.0
High Sticks+1.0
+1.0
+0.0
Blue Light Special+1.0
+1.0
+0.0
Misfits+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.0
Erie County Fusion-0.0
Hardy-0.0
High Sticks+0.4
+0.4
+0.0
Blue Light Special+0.6
+0.6
+0.0
Misfits+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy-0.3
-0.3
-0.5
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.0
Erie County Fusion+0.1
+0.1
*No
+0.1
Hardy*No
-0.0
Purple Cobras-1.9
+0.0
Surge+3.2
-0.1
Lucas-0.5
+0.0
The Brothers 7 Lucas 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Purple Cobras-0.7
Surge+0.5
LucasOut
No
+3.8
-0.1
Hooligans 7 Blues 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns-0.0
Erie County Fusion-0.0
Hardy-0.0
Misfits+0.0
Purple Cobras-0.1
Surge-0.2
Lucas-0.1
Week of 12/4
Hooligans vs High SticksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.52.52.4
Erie County Fusion3.63.63.5
Hardy98.9*98.898.6
98.9*98.898.6
5.25.15.1
High Sticks58.567.375.4
58.567.375.4
0.0*NoNo
8.48.17.7
Blue Light Special27.925.222.9
27.925.222.9
9.69.79.7
Misfits19.317.315.4
19.317.315.4
10.010.110.1
Blue Light Special vs Shots on YouHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy98.7*98.798.9
98.7*98.798.9
High Sticks63.264.466.3
63.264.466.3
Blue Light Special38.625.416.9
38.625.416.9
9.19.610.0
Misfits18.318.117.5
18.318.117.5
Purple Cobras vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy98.998.898.7
98.998.898.7
High Sticks67.365.963.8
67.365.963.8
8.18.18.2
Blue Light Special28.026.625.1
28.026.625.1
9.59.69.7
Misfits10.215.121.3
10.215.121.3
10.610.29.8
Purple Cobras27.135.344.5
15.916.216.4
Surge70.665.259.0
16.716.716.6
Lucas95.193.892.1
17.717.717.6
Hardy vs Grey HawksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.52.52.4
Erie County Fusion3.63.63.5
Hardy99.4*98.897.3
99.4*98.897.3
4.95.35.7
High Sticks65.764.563.3
65.764.563.3
Blue Light Special26.4*25.825.0
26.4*25.825.0
9.69.79.7
Misfits18.2*17.717.0
18.2*17.717.0
10.010.110.2
O'Neills vs WhalersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.52.52.4
Erie County Fusion3.63.53.5
Hardy98.8*98.898.7
98.8*98.898.7
5.25.15.1
High Sticks65.2*64.864.1
65.2*64.864.1
Blue Light Special26.225.725.2
26.225.725.2
9.69.79.7
Misfits18.0*17.817.4
18.0*17.817.4
10.010.110.2
Young Guns vs LucasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns100.0*100.099.7
100.0*100.099.7
2.42.83.1
Erie County Fusion3.63.53.5
Hardy5.25.15.1
Purple Cobras38.640.543.2
16.216.316.4
Surge62.363.464.9
16.616.716.8
LucasOutOut0.2
NoNo0.2
93.990.585.8
17.717.617.4
Erie County Fusion vs The BrothersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.52.52.4
Erie County Fusion99.9*99.999.7
99.9*99.999.7
3.43.84.2
Hardy5.25.15.0
Purple Cobras39.0*39.239.5
Surge62.463.063.4
Surge vs BluesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Purple Cobras46.840.734.7
16.316.316.2
Surge0.0OutOut
0.0NoNo
50.060.869.7
16.316.616.8
Lucas94.493.492.2
17.717.717.6
Nordiques vs Damaged GoodsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.52.52.4
Erie County Fusion3.63.53.5
Hardy5.25.15.0
Surge62.462.963.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.