| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
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| AISHC-SunEve | |
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| Basketball | |
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| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
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| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
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Shots On You Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Beat Purple Cobras 4-1, playoff odds up 9.6 to 67.9%
15 points 6-3-3
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | +9.0 | +9.0 | -0.2 | +0.7 | ||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.9 | +0.9 | ||||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.7 | -0.7 | ||||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.5 | +0.5 | ||||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.4 | +0.4 | ||||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||||
| O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||||
| The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | -10.6+1.1+10.4 | -10.6+1.1+10.4 | -0.7+0.0+0.7 | |||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +1.2*+0.0-1.2 | +1.2*+0.0-1.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +1.0*+0.0-1.0 | +1.0*+0.0-1.0 | ||||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.6*+0.1-0.7 | +0.6*+0.1-0.7 | ||||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.4*-0.0-0.4 | +0.4*-0.0-0.4 | ||||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.2*+0.2-0.3 | +0.2*+0.2-0.3 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Shots on You finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 45 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 441 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 68 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | No | 398 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 984 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,509 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 64 | 32 | 5 | 0 | No | 7,280 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 45 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 17,912 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 27 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,217 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 13 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 29,208 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 13 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 30,943 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 66,575 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,859 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 68,916 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,824 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 133,391 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 45,118 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,915 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 108,262 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,459 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 201,374 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0 | No | 72,916 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 97.9 | 97.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,344 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97.8 | 97.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,526 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.1 | 98.1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 25,707 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 90.4 | 90.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 228,918 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 90.8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,776 | * | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 72.7 | 72.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,608 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 71.9 | 71.9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,894 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 72.7 | 72.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,516 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 45.9 | 45.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,426 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 46.9 | 46.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,126 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 21.4 | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 124,016 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 107,960 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 18,393 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,307 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 45,756 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,840 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 73,513 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,925 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 19,970 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 29,147 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 30,490 | * | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 30,185 | * | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 18,051 | * | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 7,194 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 8.7 | 3,673 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 19.6 | 1,020 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 19 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 36.1 | 427 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 21 | 55.2 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 36 | 80.0 | 445 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 67.9 | % | 67.9 | % | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,080,789 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
