Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
O'Neills219-0-35298.0%+2.198.0%+2.124201613107421100000003.3+0.340.0%-0.02O'Neills
Nordiques2010-2-03596.4+3.296.4+3.21616161513107421000000003.9+0.340.0-0.07Nordiques
Hooligans199-2-13593.7+4.493.7+4.41013141514129632100000004.6+0.410.0-0.04Hooligans
Shots on You156-3-32367.9+9.667.9+9.6135710131514118642100007.3+0.630.0-0.25Shots On You
Grey Hawks104-6-2-717.9-9.417.9-9.40001135811131413119631011.1-0.681.8+0.113Grey Hawks
Whalers94-7-1-1811.4-7.511.4-7.50000123581113141312952111.9-0.623.2+0.116Whalers
Blues72-7-3-194.5-4.14.5-4.10000001247912141514106313.2-0.518.9+0.810Blues
The Brothers73-8-1-294.4+1.44.4+1.40000001247911141515117213.2+0.918.9-10.714The Brothers
Damaged Goods73-8-1-164.1-4.34.1-4.30000001247912141514116213.2-0.518.8+0.712Damaged Goods

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills-0.3
-0.3
Nordiques-0.3
-0.3
Hooligans-0.5
-0.5
Shots on You+9.0
+9.0
-0.2
+0.7
Grey Hawks-1.0
-1.0
-0.2
Whalers-0.8
-0.8
-0.3
Blues-0.5
-0.5
-0.7
The Brothers-0.2
-0.2
-1.5
Damaged Goods-0.4
-0.4
-0.8
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills-0.1
Nordiques+3.4
+3.4
+0.6
Hooligans+0.3
+0.3
Shots on You+0.5
+0.5
Grey Hawks+0.3
+0.3
Whalers-6.6
-6.6
+1.5
-0.7
Blues+0.1
The Brothers-0.3
+0.1
Damaged Goods+0.1
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills+0.2
+0.2
Nordiques+0.3
+0.3
Hooligans+0.4
+0.4
Shots on You+0.9
+0.9
Grey Hawks-7.9
-7.9
+1.0
-0.7
Whalers+0.5
+0.5
+0.1
Blues+0.3
+0.3
+0.1
Damaged Goods+0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Hooligans 7 Blues 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills-0.1
Nordiques-0.1
Hooligans+4.5
+4.5
+0.6
Blues-3.8
-3.8
+3.4
-0.7
The Brothers-0.4
+0.1
Damaged Goods-0.2
+0.1
Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills-0.2
-0.2
Nordiques-0.2
-0.2
Hooligans-0.3
-0.3
Shots on You-0.7
-0.7
Grey Hawks-0.8
-0.8
Whalers-0.6
-0.6
Blues-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
The Brothers-0.4
Damaged Goods-4.2
-4.2
+3.4
-0.7
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills+2.1
+2.1
No
+0.6
Shots on You+0.2
+0.2
The Brothers 7 Lucas 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You-0.2
-0.2
Grey Hawks-0.2
-0.2
Blues-0.2
The Brothers+1.6
+1.6
-7.9
+0.6
Damaged Goods-0.2
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans+0.2
+0.2
Shots on You+0.4
+0.4
Grey Hawks+0.3
+0.3
Whalers+0.3
+0.3
Blues+0.2
+0.2
The Brothers+0.2
Damaged Goods+0.2
+0.2
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills-0.1
Nordiques-0.1
Hooligans-0.1
Shots on You-0.3
-0.3
Grey Hawks-0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Whalers-0.2
-0.2
-0.4
Blues-0.2
-0.2
-0.8
The Brothers-1.5
+0.1
Damaged Goods-0.2
-0.2
-0.8
Week of 12/4
Blue Light Special vs Shots on YouIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You57.369.078.3
57.369.078.3
8.17.36.6
Hardy vs Grey HawksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You68.3*67.967.5
68.3*67.967.5
Grey Hawks11.217.024.8
11.217.024.8
2.91.60.8
11.711.110.4
O'Neills vs WhalersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills99.298.496.7
99.298.496.7
2.83.33.8
Shots on You68.5*68.067.2
68.5*68.067.2
Whalers6.810.716.2
6.810.716.2
4.82.91.6
12.511.911.2
The Brothers4.6*4.44.3
4.6*4.44.3
8.7*8.99.0
13.2*13.213.3
Hooligans vs High SticksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans97.294.590.1
97.294.590.1
NoNo0.0
3.94.55.2
Shots on You68.9*67.966.9
68.9*67.966.9
Grey Hawks18.7*17.717.1
18.7*17.717.1
Whalers11.9*11.310.8
11.9*11.310.8
Nordiques vs Damaged GoodsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nordiques98.396.894.4
98.396.894.4
No*No0.0
3.43.94.4
Hooligans4.6*4.64.5
Blues8.6*9.09.3
13.1*13.213.3
The Brothers8.6*8.99.2
13.2*13.313.3
Damaged Goods2.03.66.4
2.03.66.4
12.48.25.3
13.813.312.6
Purple Cobras vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans94.1*93.793.3
94.1*93.793.3
Shots on You69.1*67.966.8
69.1*67.966.8
7.3*7.37.4
Grey Hawks18.6*17.917.2
18.6*17.917.2
2.0*1.81.6
Whalers11.9*11.510.8
11.9*11.510.8
3.5*3.22.8
Blues4.7*4.54.2
4.7*4.54.2
9.8*9.08.1
The Brothers4.7*4.54.2
4.7*4.54.2
9.8*8.98.0
Damaged Goods4.4*4.13.9
4.4*4.13.9
9.7*8.87.8
Surge vs BluesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blues2.34.16.7
2.34.16.7
14.17.64.0
13.913.212.5
The Brothers9.7*9.08.1
Damaged Goods9.5*8.88.0
Erie County Fusion vs The BrothersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills3.4*3.33.2
Nordiques4.03.93.9
The Brothers2.24.06.8
2.24.06.8
12.68.35.3
13.813.312.7
Damaged Goods8.4*8.79.1
13.2*13.213.3
Young Guns vs LucasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills3.4*3.33.2
Nordiques4.0*3.93.9
Hooligans4.64.64.5
Whalers2.8*3.23.5
Blues8.1*8.99.8
The Brothers8.1*8.89.7
Damaged Goods8.0*8.79.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.