O'Neills Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Beat Hardy 9-2, playoff odds up 2.1 to 98%
21 points 9-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 | +2.1 | +2.1 | No | +0.6 | ||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +1.2+0.4-1.3 | +1.2+0.4-1.3 | +0.5+0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Young Guns vs Lucas | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the O'Neills finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 48 | -51 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 1,913 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 3,645 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 7,238 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 18,121 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 30,355 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 29,650 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 30,756 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 66,869 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 19,991 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,626 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 64,648 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | No | 9,063 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 68 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 135,715 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,937 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 52 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,572 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 108,445 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 53 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 17,814 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 34 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 199,750 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 35 | 45 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,277 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 18 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 165,976 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 18 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 139,148 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 19 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 25,969 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 8 | 30 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 228,894 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,637 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 164,257 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 139,200 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 25,465 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 200,757 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 73,472 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 124,076 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 107,684 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | No | 18,448 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,540 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 45,393 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 98.9 | 98.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,881 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 98.9 | 98.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 65,277 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 99.0 | 99.0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,080 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 93.5 | 93.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 66,646 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 94.1 | 94.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,876 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 77.6 | 77.6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,602 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 78.2 | 78.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,608 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 49.5 | 49.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,006 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,717 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 11 | - | 2 | 21.4 | 21.4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 8,137 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 7,179 | * | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,595 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | No | 985 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 24 | 7 | 0 | No | 387 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 3 | 14 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 3 | No | 74 | |||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 9 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 2.5 | % | 438 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 98.0 | % | 98.0 | % | 24 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,080,789 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
