"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.5
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 *No
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 -0.0
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 -0.0
Hooligans 7 Blues 0 -0.0
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills vs Whalers+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.5
Young Guns vs Lucas-0.0+0.1+0.1
Nordiques vs Damaged Goods-0.0+0.0+0.1
Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Hooligans vs High Sticks-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the O'Neills finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-TplayoffsPromoted123456789101112131415161718RelegatedCount
5115-0-0InYes100No5,946
5014-0-1InYes1000No11,926
4914-1-0InYes991No35,028
13-0-2InYes1000No12,548
4813-1-1InYes9820No71,052
12-0-3InYes991No7,897
4713-2-0InYes9370No99,981
12-1-2InYes9550No70,164*
4612-2-1InYes851500No187,887
11-1-3InYes87130No39,692*
4512-3-0InYes682920No172,006
11-2-2InYes722620No161,208
10-1-4InYes75241No15,551*
4411-3-1InYes5141700No294,332
10-2-3InYes5539600No88,928*
4310-3-2InYes32481820No228,971
11-4-0InYes29482020No197,554
9-2-4InYes36481510No31,004*
4210-4-1InYes154333800No305,070
9-3-3InYes174531700No108,097
8-2-5InYes18472950No7,770*
419-4-2InYes630422030No213,169
10-5-0InYes528422130No158,214
8-3-4InYes732411820No35,765*
409-5-1InYes11438351010No220,052
8-4-3InYes216393491No89,700
7-3-5InYes217403280No8,013*
398-5-2InYes0525422430No137,847
9-6-0InYes0524422540No92,685
7-4-4InYes0627422230No26,408*
388-6-1InYes011237391100No115,118
7-5-3InYes01133838100No55,852*
377-6-2InYes00424472310No63,614
8-7-0InYes0423472410No40,561
6-5-4InYes0426472210No13,114*
367-7-1InYes0111434050No44,181
6-6-3InYes0112443940No22,237*
356-7-2InYes043152121No21,036
7-8-0InYes043152121No17,648*
346-8-1100.0%100.0%0117542630No12,378
5-7-3100.0100.00118532520No6,304*
335-8-299.799.708453880No9,192*
325-9-198.898.8330471910No3,726*
314-9-294.194.1015473251No1,559*
304-10-182.682.673046162No553*
293-10-262.462.431445317No178*
283-11-144.444.444033184No45*
272-11-228.628.61019332414No21*
262-12-1OutNo100No1
210-15-0OutNo042142294No492
Total:100.0%100.0%3325181283100000000No3,562,275

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs