Misfits Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Beat Blue Light Special 6-1, playoff odds up 6.3 to 25.5%
11 points 5-6-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +7.8 | +7.8 | -1.5 | +0.8 | ||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.3 | |||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +0.1 | |||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.2 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | -7.6-0.6+7.7 | -7.6-0.6+7.7 | +0.8-0.3-0.7 | -0.7+0.0+0.7 | ||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +1.0*-0.1-1.0 | +1.0*-0.1-1.0 | ||||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | ||||||
| Young Guns vs Lucas | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Misfits finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 41 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 81 | 17 | 2 | No | 441 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 73 | 25 | 2 | No | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 42 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 403 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 26 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 0 | No | 1,042 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 12 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,533 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,074 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 17,777 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,072 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 32,301 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,361 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 66,791 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 20,016 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.2 | 95.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 78,192 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 95.1 | 95.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | No | 64,267 | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 82.6 | 82.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,138 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 82.3 | 82.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 45,124 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 59.6 | 59.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 123,399 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 59.9 | 59.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 107,809 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 59.7 | 59.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,156 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,121 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 32.8 | 32.8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,438 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 164,902 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 139,211 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,735 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 229,692 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 85,634 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 164,729 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 139,883 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 25,674 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,783 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,223 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 124,417 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 107,596 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 18,354 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 133,887 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 45,851 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0.4 | 77,940 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 64,676 | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 68,164 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 19,150 | |||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 8.6 | 32,542 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 8.1 | 27,645 | ||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 2 | 21.8 | 30,145 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 41.2 | 17,698 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 16 | 62.4 | 7,175 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 50 | 30 | 80.1 | 3,642 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 89.1 | 1,006 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 31 | 66 | 96.9 | 413 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 29 | 71 | Yes | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 8 | 92 | Yes | 456 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 25.5 | % | 25.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | % | 3,080,789 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
