| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
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| AISHC-SunEve | |
| TCSSC Wed Floor | |
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| Basketball | |
| Bocce | |
| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
| Ultimate Frisbee | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Misfits Playoff Chances 2011-2012
Beat Blue Light Special 6-1, playoff odds up 8.5 to 17.8%
11 points 5-6-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +6.3 | +6.3 | -0.1 | +0.6 | ||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.7 | -0.7 | ||||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | ||||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.0 | |||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | +0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | -7.6-2.8+3.5 | -7.6-2.8+3.5 | -0.6-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +1.5-0.6-2.4 | +1.5-0.6-2.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +0.4*-0.1-0.8 | +0.4*-0.1-0.8 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | ||||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.1*-0.0-0.5 | +0.1*-0.0-0.5 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Misfits finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 41 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 6 | 37 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 497 | |||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 14 | 50 | 14 | 21 | No | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 2 | 17 | 35 | 34 | 11 | No | 174 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 1 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 22 | 4 | No | 503 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 12 | 0 | No | 1,917 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 30 | 1 | No | 4,367 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 47 | 6 | 0 | No | 12,016 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 58 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 22,901 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.7 | 96.7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 24,400 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.6 | 96.6 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 25,338 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 90.5 | 90.5 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 43 | 9 | 0 | No | 60,772 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 90.2 | 90.2 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 42 | 10 | 0 | No | 18,283 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 78.8 | 78.8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 49 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 67,289 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 78.7 | 78.7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 49 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 72,568 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 61.3 | 61.3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 140,176 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 61.0 | 61.0 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0 | No | 47,677 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 41.4 | 41.4 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 136,812 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 120,698 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 41.1 | 41.1 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 20,088 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 24 | 3 | 0 | No | 239,168 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 78,516 | ||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 197,825 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 168,346 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 0 | No | 30,539 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 282,051 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 104,604 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 205,492 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 174,804 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0 | No | 31,669 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 251,674 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 91,241 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 154,744 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 136,257 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,539 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 164,945 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 55,180 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 31 | 8 | 0 | No | 82,317 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 31 | 8 | 1 | No | 88,771 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 76,798 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 22,426 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 9 | 0 | No | 32,590 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 0 | No | 33,773 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 45 | 21 | 1 | No | 31,255 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 17,376 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 29 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 0.4 | 6,425 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 14 | 58 | 25 | 2 | 1.9 | 2,873 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 5 | 46 | 43 | 5 | 5.2 | 768 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 28 | 51 | 19 | 0 | 19.0 | 279 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 17 | 48 | 36 | 35.7 | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 31 | 53 | 12 | 65.1 | 498 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.8 | % | 17.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,562,275 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
