Hardy Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50
Lost to O'Neills 2-9, playoff odds down 3.5 to 89.4%
18 points 8-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| O'Neills 9 Hardy 2 | -3.3 | -3.3 | -0.7 | |||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||||
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | +0.3 | +0.3 | ||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | ||||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | ||||
| Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||
| The Brothers 7 Lucas 4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | +4.9+1.0-5.1 | +4.9+1.0-5.1 | +0.6+0.0-0.6 | |||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.6*+0.0-0.6 | +0.6*+0.0-0.6 | ||||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.5*-0.1-0.5 | +0.5*-0.1-0.5 | ||||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | ||||
| Surge vs Blues | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Young Guns vs Lucas | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Hardy finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 47 | -48 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 516 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 409 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 1,051 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 3,564 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 7,066 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 86 | 14 | 1 | No | 17,913 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 30,019 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 59 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,539 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,070 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 41 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,831 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 41 | 44 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 20,210 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 25 | 44 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 68,856 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 64,590 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,133 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 11 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,563 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 11 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 45,438 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 4 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 124,159 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 4 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 107,875 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,242 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,596 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | No | 73,234 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,045 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 138,753 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 25,354 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 228,767 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 85,391 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 165,830 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 139,305 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 26,034 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 98.4 | 98.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,544 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 98.4 | 98.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,629 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 92.1 | 92.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 124,007 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 91.8 | 91.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 108,043 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 92.6 | 92.6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,207 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 75.2 | 75.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,221 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 75.9 | 75.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 45,364 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | 48.6 | 48.6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 68,830 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,735 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 68,099 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 18,935 | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,387 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 30,579 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 30,024 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,871 | * | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 7,285 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 3,664 | * | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1,066 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 33 | 37 | 22 | 2 | 2.1 | 435 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 2 | 18 | 45 | 26 | 9 | 9.2 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 3 | 20 | 42 | 32 | 3 | 35.4 | 446 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 89.4 | % | 89.4 | % | 6 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,080,789 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
