| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| 2011-2012 | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| Schneggenburger | |
| 21 | O'Neills |
| 20 | Nordiques |
| 19 | Hooligans |
| 15 | Shots on You |
| 10 | Grey Hawks |
| 9 | Whalers |
| 7 | Blues |
| 7 | Damaged Goods |
| 7 | The Brothers |
| Smith | |
| 21 | Young Guns |
| 20 | Erie County Fusion |
| 18 | Hardy |
| 14 | High Sticks |
| 12 | Blue Light Special |
| 11 | Misfits |
| 3 | Purple Cobras |
| 2 | Surge |
| 0 | Lucas |
| Floor Hockey | |
| AISHC-SunEve | |
| TCSSC Wed Floor | |
| Bar Sports | |
| Baseball | |
| Basketball | |
| Bocce | |
| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
| Ultimate Frisbee | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Grey Hawks Playoff Chances 2011-2012
Lost to Young Guns 1-9, playoff odds down 8.7 to 10.2%
10 points 4-6-2
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9 | -3.8 | -3.8 | -0.3 | |||
| Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1 | +1.2 | +1.2 | ||||
| Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | ||||
| Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.0 | |||
| Nordiques 6 Whalers 3 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.0 | |||
| Hooligans 7 Blues 0 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hardy vs Grey Hawks | -2.9+1.0+6.4 | -2.9+1.0+6.4 | -0.3+0.1+0.6 | |||
| Hooligans vs High Sticks | +0.9-0.4-1.5 | +0.9-0.4-1.5 | ||||
| Purple Cobras vs Misfits | +0.8+0.3-0.4 | +0.8+0.3-0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| O'Neills vs Whalers | +0.1*-0.0-0.3 | +0.1*-0.0-0.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Blue Light Special vs Shots on You | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Nordiques vs Damaged Goods | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Erie County Fusion vs The Brothers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Grey Hawks finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 40 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 14 | 36 | 38 | 10 | 0 | No | 498 | |||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 11 | 16 | 32 | 42 | No | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 1 | 7 | 22 | 41 | 26 | 3 | No | 123 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 43 | 10 | 0 | No | 369 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 28 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,560 | * | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 45 | 5 | 0 | No | 3,441 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.4 | 99.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 57 | 13 | 1 | No | 9,850 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.0 | 97.0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 19,108 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.2 | 91.2 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,765 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 91.3 | 91.3 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 41 | 8 | 0 | No | 21,640 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 79.3 | 79.3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 52,269 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 79.3 | 79.3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 48 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 15,874 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 60.7 | 60.7 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,179 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 60.7 | 60.7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0 | No | 55,988 | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 40.1 | 40.1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 125,891 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 39.4 | 39.4 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 42,744 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 28 | 5 | 0 | No | 125,881 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | No | 110,177 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 27 | 5 | 0 | No | 18,503 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 218,427 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 79,271 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 190,378 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 0 | No | 161,147 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 0 | No | 29,321 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 277,640 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 102,673 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 207,559 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 177,417 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 30,813 | ||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 261,111 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 94,402 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 164,253 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 144,533 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 23,839 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 180,848 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 60,997 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 32 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 105,202 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 87,815 | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 90,027 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 0 | No | 26,719 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 39,352 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 40,299 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 39,154 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 33 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 0.3 | 22,550 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 17 | 58 | 23 | 2 | 1.5 | 8,607 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5.9 | 3,978 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 37 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 13.8 | 1,072 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 17 | 53 | 29 | 0 | 29.4 | 408 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 43.7 | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 61 | 22 | 83.2 | 513 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10.2 | % | 10.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,562,275 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
